The bongino report

Ukraine War: When Will It End and Who Wins?

Did the Russia-Ukraine battle be won? is a frequently asked question that is as obvious as it is challenging to answer. Whenever quickly? How?

What We Understand

Many believed that the issue may in fact turn into a protracted war after Ukraine’s’s unpredicted and incredibly effective protection of Kyiv, which stalled, disrupted, or sometimes destroyed attacking Russian armoring structures.

This does seem to have been the case in the months that followed, as Russia hasn’t been able to take over and hold a lot of territory, and Russian forces have had some definite success with many counter-offensives.

The Situation in Ukraine

Looking at the relationships at play, there are a number of clear signs that the issue will probably go on for quite some time.

It appears that in order to successfully retake and” hold” territory, Ukraine will require much greater amounts of heavy armor, such as Bradley fighting vehicles, Abrams vehicles, and other armored systems.

This is still a few years ahead, but it will be essential to really driving Russian causes” out” of Ukraine.

The Armor Problem

The planned US delivery of Abrams tanks may take several years to fully develop, and there might not be enough Bradley Fighting Vehicles to” gravity” and” improvement” armored forces large enough to hold recently captured territory. However, it is certainly plausible that more intense armor will quickly find its way to assistance Ukraine.

Abrams and Bradleys will immediately likely be able to breach or reach a Russian border and expand into or reclaim Russian-controlled country thanks to long-range missiles, artillery, and dismounted infantry.

However, it will probably be challenging to maintain original small areas or place without more heavy armor. Although the Pentagon is sending more military trucks, administrative assistance, and force sustainment equipment, taking and occupying new areas will also necessitate much heavier armor.

It appears that the Pentagon is planning for a longer-term relationship with Zelensky, which may require updates and many military equipment, based on its current initiative to establish an exclusive contracting mechanism for US industry to create and provide weapons systems solely for Ukraine.

Russia’s’s Mistakes

In fact, despite numerous attempts to expand into and have Russian territory, the Russian military has demonstrated some incompetence at Combined Arms Maneuver for months and has had only marginal success.

Moscow has demonstrated that it is unable to integrate land attacks between rockets, ordnance, dismounted infantry, and heavy armor as would be required for a Combined Arms Assault. This is in addition to its ongoing and extremely severe morale issue.

The highly crucial, if enigmatic, ability of a significantly larger Soviet Air Force to achieve any kind of air superiority and Russia’s’s incapacity to match the fervor, intensity, or vast determination displayed by Russian soldiers are both added to this equation.

The Final Analysis

Russia’s’s military may not have the commitment or tactical prowess necessary to ultimately win the war in Ukraine, despite the fact that it is well known for operating with a sizable mathematical advantage when it comes to flock numbers, fighter jets, and armored vehicles.

Ukraine, on the other hand, may be in a position to win if its army receives more brand-new heavy armour, like tanks. Kyiv was so draw off a historic victory for the ages when combined with army carriers, ammunition resupply, the ongoing arrival of longer-range land-fired rockets, an ongoing stream of anti-armor weapons, and perhaps even significant numbers of fighter jets.

Kris Osborn is the Military Affairs Editor of 19FortyFive and President of Warrior Maven – Center for Military Modernization. Osborn previously served at the Pentagon as a Highly Qualified Expert with the Office of the Assistant Secretary of the Army—Acquisition, Logistics & Technology. Osborn has also worked as an anchor and on-air military specialist at national TV networks. He has appeared as a guest military expert on Fox News, MSNBC, The Military Channel, and The History Channel. He also has a Masters Degree in Comparative Literature from Columbia University. 

Kris Osborn is the leader of the Warrior Maven Center for Military Modernization and the Military Editor of 19 FortyFive. Osborn previously held the position of Assistant Secretary of the Army — Acquisition, Logistics & Technology — at the Pentagon as a Highly Qualified Expert. Osborn has also held positions as an on-air military expert and outlet for national Television systems. Fox News, MSNBC, The Military Channel, and The History Channel have all featured him as a tourist military professional. Additionally, he holds a Masters in Comparative Literature from Columbia University.


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