Biden Will Win Democratic Nomination Hands Down, Says Prominent Presidential Historian

Presidential Historian Predicts Biden Will Beat RFK Jr. for Democratic Nomination

Renowned Presidential historian, Allan Lichtman, known for his accurate predictions, has stated that Robert F. Kennedy Jr. doesn’t stand a chance against President Joe Biden for the Democratic presidential nomination.

Biden’s Disorientation is Nothing New

Lichtman also believes that Biden’s appearance of being disoriented is not a new characteristic and has been evident since his time as former Vice President and U.S. Senator. He states that it has nothing to do with his actual ability to lead the country. “He’s always been that way, for decades and decades,” Lichtman told The Epoch Times. “It doesn’t mean he’s not functioning well or has some kind of impairment.”

Keys to the White House

Lichtman’s fabled system, known as “Keys To The White House,” has correctly predicted the outcomes of all U.S. presidential elections since 1984. The system applies 13 key factors, or “true/false” conditions, to determine the electoral college winner of the presidential elections. The keys include the status of the economy, any existing scandal, the charisma of the sitting president versus challenger, the state of military affairs, and social unrest at the time of the campaigns.

Democrats Jeopardize Their Own Party Ticket

Applying his theory to the 2024 elections, Lichtman said that Democrats will jeopardize their own party ticket “right off the bat” merely by choosing a candidate other than Biden because it compromises the “incumbency advantage” under his system. By not nominating Biden, it creates “an open seat”—another major key in Lichtman’s theory. “The last thing you want is an open seat and a party battle,” he said. “No White House party has ever survived an open seat and a party battle.”

Biden is Mentally Fit for a Second Term

In disputing ageists, Lichtman compared Biden to the late President Ronald Reagan who was 77 when he was re-elected. Reagan had also drawn speculation during his second term about his mental competency. However, Lichtman pointed out that 76-year-old former President Donald Trump is not too far behind in age than Biden. “In terms of what kind of shape he’s in, he looks in much worse shape than Biden,” Lichtman said of Trump.

Final Showdown Between Biden and Trump

Lichtman said he is certain that the final showdown for the presidency will be another faceoff between Biden and Trump. Lichtman said that “so far,” he also doesn’t see any GOP challengers “having a chance” at “out rivaling” Trump. In singling out Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis as somebody he thought had potential to nudge Trump off the ticket, Lichtman said he’s changed his mind after seeing him talk on a national scale outside of state politics. “It turned out the run is better than the reality,” he said.

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