Biden must develop a new Syria policy, not repeat Obama’s risky concessions.

The Complex Mess That is Syria

The recent killing of an American contractor in eastern Syria by an Iranian drone has once again put Syria in the national conversation. The Biden administration may be feeling the pressure, but it was the Obama-Biden administration that created today’s Syria. By abandoning its policy of “Assad must go” and its ultimatum of a “red line,” the Obama-Biden administration likely made concessions to the Iranian regime in an effort to bring them into the Iran nuclear deal.

A Tragic Humanitarian Toll

Syria today remains a complex mess and is the site of a civil war whose tragic humanitarian toll over more than a decade is unspeakable. Its brutality is unmatched in any other part of the world, and it includes the use of sarin nerve gas against its own population.

A Key Proxy of the Iranian Regime

Nowhere in the Middle East do American interests and security risks converge more closely together than in Syria. Syria’s dictator, Bashar al-Assad, is a key proxy of the Iranian regime. Syria borders Israel, and risks posed by Assad, as well as Hezbollah in neighboring Lebanon, are formidable. Al-Qaida’s main global base of operations today is in Syria, and ISIS stood up its state in much of the eastern part of the country. Turkey maintains a keen focus on the Kurdish-controlled parts of the country in the northwest, particularly because it regards the Kurdish Kurdistan Workers Party (PKK) group as its top terrorist threat.

Ignoring Syria is Not an Option

Ignoring Syria, however, is not an option. Neither is the Obama-era approach of maintaining military engagement in the country without a policy. The Trump administration was able to effectively define and achieve an American interest in the country and draw down its presence when that objective was achieved. The key was not only clarity regarding how to degrade ISIS but also a consistency of policy across the region.

A “Maximum Pressure” Campaign Against the Iranian Regime

This consistency of policy, namely a “maximum pressure” campaign against the Iranian regime, ensured that Iran’s proxies knew to expect the same degree of merciless force that the regime itself faced should they harm an American. As a result, their ability to pursue their malign activities was curtailed by the sanctions the Trump administration had in place.

A Lack of Policy and Will to Engage

The Biden administration could only afford to launch precision strikes because its policy on Iran is consistent, which is to bring it into a deal at all costs, even remaining silent during historic protests against the regime. It is noteworthy that just weeks after the Iranian drone strike that killed an American, Axios reported an “interim” nuclear deal the Biden administration was working on with Iran. This is a replay of the Obama-Biden approach, only in much more dangerous circumstances as our allies around the world flock to China’s orbit and Iran nears its nuclear ambitions.

Alongside Afghanistan, Ukraine, and Taiwan, Syria will grow into a flashpoint of new threats to Americans and our interests. The difference with Syria in 2023 is that this administration lacks not only a policy but also a will to engage.

Author Bio:

Jacob Olidort currently serves as Director of the Center for American Security at the America First Policy Institute and as Director of the Center’s Middle East Peace Project.

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