Poll: Trump’s Debate Absence Had No Impact on Support
A New Poll Shows Strong Support for Former President Donald Trump Among Republican Primary Voters
A recent poll conducted by Morning Consult reveals that despite his absence from the debate stage in Milwaukee, former President Donald Trump continues to maintain a high standing among Republican primary voters. In fact, the survey indicates that 58 percent of respondents would choose President Trump as their party’s presidential nominee.
This percentage remains unchanged from before the event, demonstrating that Trump’s popularity remains unwavering among his supporters.
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Just five minutes before the Fox News/Republican National Committee debate began, former Fox News host Tucker Carlson conducted an interview with President Trump on X, the platform formerly known as Twitter.
This puts President Trump a significant 44 percentage points ahead of Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, who came in second among prospective voters in the poll. Both before and after the debate, 14 percent of voters expressed their preference for DeSantis as their prospective GOP presidential pick.
Businessman Vivek Ramaswamy secured the third position and experienced a one-point increase in support after the broadcast. Many perceived him as the winner of the debate due to the numerous attacks he faced from his rivals. While 10 percent of respondents chose him before the debate, 11 percent favored Ramaswamy afterwards.
Former Vice President Mike Pence’s support remained unchanged at 6 percent both before and after the debate. However, former New Jersey Governor Chris Christie, who emerged as a strong critic of President Trump, gained one point, going from 3 to 4 percent.
Former South Carolina Governor Nikki Haley and Senator Tim Scott (R-S.C.) also maintained their positions as favorites, with 3 percent support from the surveyed group at both times. However, another survey suggests that Haley gained ground during the event among some GOP voters, particularly due to her clash with Ramaswamy on foreign policy.
A survey by FiveThirtyEight/The Washington Post/Ipsos indicates that Haley’s prospective support among likely Republican primary voters who watched the debate increased by about 16 points, from around 30 percent to almost 47 percent.
Overall, the debate had a positive impact on the prospects of Ramaswamy, DeSantis, Pence, Scott, Christie, North Dakota Governor Doug Burgum, and former Arkansas Governor Asa Hutchinson. The only candidates whose numbers fell were President Trump and former Texas congressman Will Hurd, both of whom did not participate in the debate.
Interestingly, the analysis also suggests that a higher percentage of surveyed debate watchers are considering voting for DeSantis compared to President Trump. This may indicate a distinction between Republican debate watchers and the overall GOP electorate, which still overwhelmingly favors President Trump but may be less enamored with the executive of the Sunshine State.
The debate and the concurrent Trump/Tucker interview took place the day before President Trump surrendered at a jail in Georgia after his fourth indictment. This event marked President Trump’s return to Twitter/X for the first time since early 2021, where he posted an image of his now-iconic mugshot.
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