‘Democrats in Denial: Refuse to Accept Poll Showing Trump’s Lead Over Biden’
Democrats Reject Poll Showing Biden Losing to Trump
Democrats are dismissing a recent Washington Post/ABC News poll that reveals President Joe Biden trailing former President Donald Trump by double digits in a potential general election matchup. The poll’s findings were met with skepticism and criticism from various news outlets and Democratic figures.
The Post cautioned that the poll may be an outlier due to its unique question order and the unusual makeup of Trump’s and Biden’s coalitions. ABC News also advised considering these factors when interpreting the results.
Other media sources, such as Politico, the New York Times, and Axios, expressed similar doubts about the poll’s accuracy and its ability to predict the outcome of the 2024 election.
I deleted a post about an ABC/Washington Post poll of the Biden/Trump matchup because I quickly got some smart DMs pointing out that some of its findings seem absurd. It’s probably wise not to rile people up based on questionable polling, especially this far out from Nov 2024.
— Aaron Rupar (@atrupar) September 24, 2023
Despite the media’s cautious approach, many Democrats were not satisfied with the poll’s treatment. Prominent Democratic figures, including pollsters Larry Sabato and Matt Barreto, criticized the poll as a ridiculous outlier and advised ignoring it.
Democratic strategist Cornell Belcher called the poll indefensible and raised concerns about the ethics of media narratives driven by such data. White House deputy press secretary Andrew Bates also took a jab at ABC Politics, questioning their credibility.
While the Post-ABC News poll’s results were unusual in Trump’s significant lead, they align with a trend of increasingly unfavorable polling for Biden, including another poll released by NBC News.
Trump holds an advantage over Biden in the seven states where the 2020 presidential election was closest, according to a new poll.https://t.co/AYB0nEstGG
— Washington Free Beacon (@FreeBeacon) September 15, 2023
It’s really really hard to release outlying poll results, so you’ve got to give credit to ABC/Post here, but I do have a fairly major quibble with ABC/Post here: if you release consecutive ‘outlying’ poll results – R+7 in May, R+10 today — you don’t get to dismiss your results
— Nate Cohn (@Nate_Cohn) September 24, 2023
In a related story, the most recent 5 major polls has Trump’s support among Black voters at 20 percent, more than triple of what Romney received in 2012. Trump is also getting 42 percent of the Hispanic vote in the same poll. If this holds, and it should, lights out for Biden. https://t.co/sq7oYHwPJS
— Joe Concha (@JoeConchaTV) September 22, 2023
Flashback: Trump was once widely criticized for rejecting unfavorable polls.
CNN: “Donald Trump Just Accidentally Told the Truth About His View on Polls”:
Exactly one week ago, I wrote these words: “If you listen to him long enough – no easy chore – Donald Trump will tell you all his secrets.”
Well, he did it again.
During his speech to the Conservative Political Action Conference in Dallas, Texas, over the weekend, Trump let loose with this line explaining his strategy on polling:
“If it’s bad, I say it’s fake. If it’s good, I say that’s the most accurate poll ever.”
Yup. That about captures it!
How should Democrats approach unfavorable poll results and declining support for Biden in order to improve their chances in the upcoming election
Wsrc%5Etfw”>September 20, 2023
The NBC News poll, conducted by Hart Research Associates, showed that Biden is trailing Trump by a narrow margin in the key battleground states where the 2020 presidential election was closely contested. This further adds to the concerns raised by the Washington Post/ABC News poll.
However, it is important to note that both polls were conducted several years before the 2024 election, and a lot can change in the political landscape between now and then. While polls can provide a snapshot of current public opinion, they are not definitive predictors of future outcomes.
Furthermore, it is not uncommon for polls to produce conflicting results, and outliers can occur due to various factors, as noted by the Washington Post. The unique question order and the composition of Trump’s and Biden’s coalitions may have influenced the poll results, making it an inconsistent representation of voter sentiment.
The skepticism expressed by media outlets such as Politico, the New York Times, and Axios, as well as the cautionary tweet from journalist Aaron Rupar, highlight the need for a critical examination of the poll’s findings. Polls should be approached with caution, especially when they deviate significantly from previous trends or common expectations.
Despite the criticisms raised by Democratic figures and media outlets, it cannot be ignored that Biden has been experiencing declining approval ratings and facing challenges in his presidency. The unfavorable polling for Biden, including the recent polls showing Trump with an advantage, highlights the importance of addressing concerns and taking voter sentiment seriously.
While it may be tempting for Democrats to dismiss these polls as outliers, it is crucial for them to understand the underlying factors contributing to the declining support for Biden. Ignoring or discrediting unfavorable poll results will not address the concerns of voters or improve Biden’s chances in the upcoming election.
Ultimately, it is still too early to predict the outcome of the 2024 election with certainty. Polls conducted years in advance should be seen as valuable indicators of public sentiment at a particular moment in time. As the political landscape continues to evolve, it is essential for both Democrats and Republicans to closely monitor public opinion and adapt their strategies accordingly.
Rather than rejecting polls outright, Democrats should use these findings as an opportunity for reflection and self-assessment. By understanding the concerns and preferences of the electorate, they can work towards addressing them and improving their chances in future elections.
As the 2024 election draws nearer, the focus should be on engaging with voters, developing strong policies, and putting forth compelling candidates. Polls, while informative, should not dictate the course of action. It is the responsibility of both parties to listen to the voices of the people and work towards earning their trust and support.
" Conservative News Daily does not always share or support the views and opinions expressed here; they are just those of the writer."
*As an Amazon Associate I earn from qualifying purchases
Now loading...