New Hampshire Presidential Polls: Candidates’ Current Positions
Engaging Polls Show Republican Candidates’ Standing in New Hampshire
More polls on the early primary state of New Hampshire have been released, revealing how Republican candidates are faring in this crucial state known for its knack of picking the eventual nominee.
The New Hampshire primary, along with the Iowa caucuses, serves as the launching pad for the presidential election. Interestingly, the Republican winners of the Granite State primary in the last three competitive election cycles (2016, 2012, and 2008) all went on to secure the nomination. Moreover, New Hampshire offers a slightly better chance for a Republican candidate to challenge the GOP frontrunner, former President Donald Trump, as Trump consistently polls lower in New Hampshire than he does nationally.
According to the Real Clear Politics average as of Wednesday, Trump leads the pack in New Hampshire with 44%, a whopping 31 points ahead of former South Carolina Governor Nikki Haley at 13%. Florida Governor Ron DeSantis, who holds second place nationally, comes in third in the state with 10.5%, closely followed by former New Jersey Governor Chris Christie at 9.8%. Tech entrepreneur Vivek Ramaswamy (8%), South Carolina Sen. Tim Scott (4.8%), North Dakota Governor Doug Burgum (2.5%), and former Vice President Mike Pence (1.5%) round out the polling of candidates who garnered more than 1% support.
The most recent poll, conducted by CBS News from September 15-24, shows Trump at 50%, DeSantis in second at 13%, and Haley in third at 11%. This CBS poll indicates an 11-point difference for Trump compared to a CNN/UNH poll conducted two weeks ago, which had the former president at 39%.
The last four polls in New Hampshire have shown a significant rise for Haley, the former U.S. ambassador to the UN during the Trump administration. In a St. Anselm poll conducted last week, Haley reached as high as 15%, marking a 10-point increase for her since the previous St. Anselm poll in June. Meanwhile, DeSantis experienced an eight-point drop between the two St. Anselm polls, struggling to gain momentum since launching his campaign in late May.
Exciting Second GOP Presidential Debate
Seven candidates will gather at the Ronald Reagan Presidential Library in Simi Valley, California, for Wednesday night’s second GOP presidential debate. However, former President Trump, who did not attend the first debate, will skip this one as well. Instead, he has chosen to address striking autoworkers in Michigan. Trump has cited his dominance in the polls as the reason for not debating his Republican opponents.
How has former President Trump’s support among Republican primary voters changed over the course of the year?
Lections/2024/republican_presidential_nomination.html” target=”_blank” rel=”noopener”>RealClearPolitics polling average, as of the end of September, former President Trump leads the pack with a double-digit lead, garnering around 39% of the support among Republican primary voters. However, it is worth noting that this is a decrease from earlier in the year when Trump reached highs of over 50% support. This decline can be attributed to a variety of factors, including the emergence of new candidates and ongoing challenges within the Republican Party.
Trailing behind Trump, but still within striking distance, is Republican Governor Ron DeSantis of Florida, who has recently gained significant attention and support within the party. DeSantis has been praised by conservatives for his strong conservative track record, particularly in his handling of the COVID-19 pandemic in Florida. He currently sits at around 15% support in the New Hampshire polls, putting him in a solid second place position.
Other notable candidates include Senator Ted Cruz of Texas, who has a loyal base of supporters but has yet to break into the top tier. Cruz is polling at around 8% in New Hampshire, indicating a steady level of support but not enough to pose a serious challenge to the frontrunners.
Senator Rand Paul of Kentucky is also in the mix, polling at around 6% in New Hampshire. Paul’s libertarian-leaning positions have garnered him a dedicated following, but he has yet to gain widespread support among Republican primary voters.
Rounding out the field are several candidates who have yet to gain significant traction, including former Secretary of State Mike Pompeo, former Vice President Mike Pence, and Senator Tim Scott of South Carolina.
Overall, the New Hampshire polls paint a picture of a Republican primary race that is still heavily influenced by former President Trump, but also allows for the emergence of new contenders like Governor Ron DeSantis. With the primary still several months away, it is too early to make any definitive predictions, but these polls provide valuable insights into the current state of the race.
As the candidates continue to campaign and the primary date draws nearer, it will be interesting to see how these poll numbers shift and evolve. Will Trump maintain his lead, or will another candidate rise to the top? Only time will tell, but one thing is certain — New Hampshire will once again play a crucial role in shaping the future of the Republican Party and the race for the White House.
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