New poll indicates Trump set for historic Iowa Caucus victory
Former President Donald Trump’s lead in Iowa has now surpassed 50%, according to a recent poll conducted by the Des Moines Register.
The poll reveals that over half (51%) of likely Republican caucus goers have chosen Trump as their preferred candidate for president, marking an 8% increase since October. Florida Governor Ron DeSantis (R-Fla.) trails far behind in second place with 19%, while former United Nations Ambassador Nikki Haley (R-S.C.) comes in third with 16%.
“The field may have shrunk, but it may have made Donald Trump even stronger than he was,” said pollster J. Ann Selzer, president of Selzer & Co., which conducted the Iowa Poll. “I would call his lead commanding at this point. There’s not much benefit of fewer candidates for either Ron DeSantis or Nikki Haley.”
Trump’s lead extends across all voting demographics, including Evangelical voters, with 51% of them choosing him as their top choice. This is a significant shift from the 2016 Republican Iowa caucus, where Trump finished third among Evangelical voters.
“Evangelical [voters] could make up two out of every three caucus goers in Iowa,” said Steve Kornacki, election analyst. “That was the case the last time.”
Sixty-three percent of first-time caucus goers are supporting the 45th president, while only 12% are backing DeSantis and 11% are choosing Haley. It is worth noting that first-time caucus goers tend to be from a younger age demographic.
Trump also holds the lead among all age groups and income brackets. He is also preferred by both self-identified Republicans and independent caucusgoers.
What’s particularly significant for Trump is that more voters now believe he can defeat President Joe Biden in the November 2024 election, despite ongoing legal challenges. The poll shows that 73% of respondents think Trump has a chance of beating Biden, an 8% increase from October.
Enthusiasm for the 45th president is surging in Iowa, with 70% of likely caucus goers who support Trump stating that their minds are made up. In comparison, only 30% of DeSantis supporters feel the same level of certainty.
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According to the recent poll conducted in Iowa, what percentage of likely Republican caucus goers have chosen Donald Trump as their preferred candidate for president?
Former President Donald Trump’s lead in Iowa has surpassed 50%, according to a recent poll conducted by the Des Moines Register. The poll reveals that over half (51%) of likely Republican caucus goers have chosen Trump as their preferred candidate for president, marking an 8% increase since October.
Florida Governor Ron DeSantis trails far behind in second place with 19%, while former United Nations Ambassador Nikki Haley comes in third with 16%. This significant lead for Trump extends across all voting demographics, including Evangelical voters, with 51% of them choosing him as their top choice. This is a notable shift from the 2016 Republican Iowa caucus, where Trump finished third among Evangelical voters.
“The field may have shrunk, but it may have made Donald Trump even stronger than he was,” said pollster J. Ann Selzer, president of Selzer & Co., which conducted the Iowa Poll. “I would call his lead commanding at this point. There’s not much benefit of fewer candidates for either Ron DeSantis or Nikki Haley.”
Furthermore, Trump holds the lead among all age groups and income brackets, as well as among self-identified Republicans and independent caucus goers. Notably, more voters now believe that Trump can defeat President Joe Biden in the November 2024 election, despite ongoing legal challenges. The poll shows that 73% of respondents think Trump has a chance of beating Biden, an 8% increase from October.
It is worth noting that first-time caucus goers, who tend to be from a younger age demographic, overwhelmingly support Trump, with 63% backing the 45th president. In comparison, only 12% are backing DeSantis and 11% are choosing Haley.
The results of this Iowa poll indicate a strong and commanding lead for Donald Trump among Republican caucus goers. His popularity and support have continued to grow since October, and he remains a frontrunner in the race for the Republican nomination. With a significant lead across all demographics and increased confidence in his ability to defeat President Biden, Trump’s position appears solid as the 2024 election approaches.
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