NRSC boss Daines puts finger on group that he says will deliver Senate for GOP

The chairman of Senate Republicans’ campaign arm is confident Republicans will take control of the Senate in November, and he believes one group in particular will help them do it.

Sen. Steve Daines (R-MT), chairman of the National Republican Senatorial Committee, did not predict an exact number of seats he expects Republicans to flip but expressed confidence that the GOP will take back the upper chamber. Democrats currently hold the Senate by one seat.

Daines predicted the seat of Sen. Joe Manchin (I-WV), the longtime Democrat-turned-independent of West Virginia, could flip. He also pointed to Sens. Tim Kaine (D-VA) and Jon Tester (D-MT) as vulnerable Senate Democrats.

Daines also believes polls are underestimating GOP voting power in the Senate.

“The Trump voters are many of our lower-propensity voters. And they show up to vote when Trump’s on the ballot, and they don’t show up in midterms,” Daines said at a CNN-Politico event. “And they also don’t show up in polling data very well.”

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Daines was also optimistic about Republican chances in Maryland’s Senate race between former Gov. Larry Hogan and Prince George County Executive Angela Alsobrooks, as well as in New Mexico’s Senate race between Sen. Martin Heinrich (D-NM) and Nella Domenici.

Daines said his team researched 69 Senate races that took place during presidential election years and found that “whichever party won the presidential [election] in that state, their party also won the Senate race.” One exception was found in Maine during the 2020 election in which President Joe Biden captured the state but Sen. Susan Collins (R-ME) was reelected.