A CNN poll of likely voters released Wednesday shows the two candidates within the margin of error in Georgia, Nevada, and Pennsylvania. But in Wisconsin and Michigan, Harris holds 6% and 5% leads over Trump, respectively, and in Arizona, Trump leads Harris by 5%.

All six states polled by CNN were won by President Joe Biden over Trump in 2020, but all of them except Nevada voted for Trump in 2016. The states will be key to winning the White House in 63 days, with the states within the margin of error in this survey being able to tip the balance of the election.

Georgia

In the Peach State, Harris holds a narrow 48%-47% lead over Trump with likely voters, which is an advantage well within the survey’s margin of error of plus or minus 4.7%. With independent voters, Trump holds a 44%-41% advantage over Harris.

Trump holds the edge in three of the five top matters for voters, which include the economy, immigration, abortion, crime, and protecting democracy.

The former president leads Harris 48%-44% on the economy, 50%-39% on immigration, and 46%-43% on crime. But the vice president leads Trump on abortion 51%-34% and on protecting democracy 49%-43%.

Harris holds an advantage over Trump with regard to perception of policy and views, as she has yet to detail much of her policy platform. Only 44% of Georgia voters surveyed said Harris’s views were too extreme, with 56% answering that they are generally mainstream, while 55% of Georgia voters polled said Trump’s views were too extreme and 45% said his policies were generally mainstream.

Of the voters surveyed by CNN, 89% of likely voters said they have made up their minds, while 11% said their decision on who they will vote for may change.

Nevada

In the Silver State, Harris also commands a narrow 48%-47% lead over Trump within the survey’s plus or minus 4.9% margin of error. The vice president also holds a 46%-43% lead over Trump with independent voters in the state.

Trump leads Harris 53%-37% on the economy, 51%-39% on immigration, and 50%-40% on crime. Harris holds the advantage over Trump with abortion, at 52%-35%, and protecting democracy, at 46%-45%.

Likely voters polled also believe Harris’s policies and views are more generally mainstream rather than too extreme, at 54%-45%, while they believe Trump’s are too extreme rather than generally mainstream, at 53%-47%.

Pennsylvania

In the Keystone State, Trump and Harris are tied, at 47%-47%, according to the poll. With independent voters, Harris holds a 51%-31% lead over the former president.

Trump holds an advantage over Harris with the economy, at 50%-42%, immigration at 51%-38%, and crime at 49%-41%, while Harris holds a lead over Trump with abortion at 51%-34%. In terms of protecting democracy, Trump and Harris are tied at 46%-46%.

Similar to the other swing states, likely voters tend to believe Harris’s policies are more generally mainstream than too extreme, at 51%-47%, while they also believe Trump’s policies are too extreme rather than more mainstream, at 54%-45%.

Voters in the Keystone State have largely made up their mind on who they will vote for in November, 85%, compared to those who may still change their mind, 15%.

Other key races

Among the top matters in the other surveyed states, Trump leads Harris among likely voters in each of the three states with the economy and immigration, while Harris leads on abortion. On crime, Trump leads Harris with likely voters in Arizona and Wisconsin, but in Michigan, Harris holds a narrow 46%-45% lead over Trump on the matter.

In five of the states surveyed, key Senate races could decide which party controls the majority in the upper chamber of Congress. In Michigan, Nevada, and Wisconsin, the Democratic candidates have clear leads over their Republican opponents.

In Arizona, Rep. Ruben Gallego (D-AZ) leads Republican Kari Lake 47%-44%, which is well within the poll’s margin of error. In Pennsylvania, Sen. Bob Casey (D-PA) and Republican David McCormick are tied at 46%-46%.

Republicans are currently in the minority in the Senate but appear likely to take the majority in November, thanks to Democratic seats in heavily Republican states being on the ballot this year. Despite the favorable conditions for a chamber flip, Republican Senate campaign officials have sounded the alarm over fundraising numbers that have lagged behind Democratic candidates.

Election Day for the presidential and Senate races is Nov. 5, but early voting begins in some states in the coming weeks.