Swing-state scorecard: Harris and Trump in nail-biter race – Washington Examiner
While FiveThirtyEight’s poll average shows her with a narrow lead of 48% to 47.5%. The RealClearPolitics poll average presents a similar picture, with Biden ahead by less than 1 point.
Harris is focusing her efforts on mobilizing voters in the state, highlighting key issues such as healthcare and economic recovery. Her campaign events in Wisconsin have included local leaders and community organizations to boost turnout.
the battleground states present a tight race as both candidates make their final appeals to voters heading into Election Day on November 5th. Harris is leveraging her campaign’s messaging on inclusivity and progress, while Trump aims to draw upon his previous support and brand as an outsider.
As polling continues to fluctuate in the lead-up to the election, both campaigns remain vigilant in their outreach, with the outcome likely hinging on voter turnout and engagement in these key states.
Swing-state scorecard: Harris and Trump in nail-biter race with one week until election
Former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris remain locked in a coin-flip race just one week until Election Day, with neither candidate able to move out of the several polls’ margin of error.
The final New York Times/Siena College poll shows the two candidates deadlocked at 48% each, while a Wall Street Journal national poll shows Trump narrowly leading Harris, 47% to 45%, which is within the poll’s margin of error.
Harris and Trump are spending the final week before Nov. 5 hitting as many battleground states as possible with some detours in order to attract more media attention.
The vice president spent Friday in ruby-red Texas with celebrity superstar Beyoncé to emphasize abortion rights, while Trump spent Sunday evening holding a rally at Madison Square Garden that sparked heavy backlash for his campaign after a comedian’s racist comments against Puerto Rico and African Americans.
As his campaign works to clean up after the controversy, Trump plans to campaign in New Mexico and Virginia, two blue-leaning states, and touted his campaign’s efforts in Colorado, as he hopes to project confidence that the race is in the bag.
As the 2024 cycle winds down, the Washington Examiner reranked the battleground states, according to which will be the hardest for the vice president to win.
2024 ELECTIONS LIVE UPDATES: LATEST NEWS ON THE TRUMP-HARRIS PRESIDENTIAL RACE
1. Georgia
Out of all seven battlegrounds, Trump has his biggest lead over Harris in Georgia, 49.2% to 46.9%, according to RealClearPolitics‘s poll average.
Trump also leads Harris, 48.6% to 47.1%, according to FiveThirtyEight’s poll average, while a Washington Post poll average shows Trump beating Harris by 2 points.
Harris, though, has attempted to garner votes by turning to former President Barack Obama at a star-studded rally in the Peach State on Thursday.
Gov. Tim Walz (D-MN) will also barnstorm the state on Tuesday to push for Georgians to vote early and blast the GOP ticket’s vision for the nation.
2. Arizona
Like Georgia, Arizona is another state where Harris has consistently trailed Trump in polling. RealClearPolitics‘s poll average of the state shows Trump leading 49.2% to 47.7%, while FiveThirtyEight also shows Trump leading 48.7% to 46.8% in Arizona.
The New York Times poll average shows Trump also leading 49% to 48%.
Harris and Walz are set to visit Phoenix on Thursday as part of their “When We Vote, We Win” rally as they barnstorm the battlegrounds this week. Trump will also appear in the state Thursday at an event with Tucker Carlson in Glendale.
3. North Carolina
The Tarheel State remains one of the three battlegrounds that Trump must win to ensure a smooth path to the White House.
The state has polled in his favor consistently, with the RealClearPolitics poll average showing him leading 48.6% to 47.8% and FiveThirtyEight showing him also leading 48.4% to 47.1% in the state. Both the Washington Post and the New York Times poll averages showed Trump beating Harris by 1 point.
Both Harris and Walz will visit several cities in the state on Wednesday, while Obama stumped in the state on Friday where he blasted Trump over the economy.
“Traveling around the country, I talked to some people. Some people say, ‘Well, you know what? I remember the economy being pretty good when Donald Trump first came into office.’ Yes, it was pretty good because it was my economy,” he said.
4. Pennsylvania
The Keystone State remains a must-win for both Harris and Trump to ensure a quick path to victory during next week’s election. But polls show a commonwealth that remains deeply divided.
The Washington Post poll average shows Harris leading by 1 point while the New York Times poll average shows the two candidates tied at 48%.
FiveThirtyEight’s poll average shows Trump with a slight advantage, 48% to 47.7%, as does the RealClearPolitics poll average, which shows Trump at 48.1% to Harris’s 47.6%.
Harris spent Sunday in Philadelphia, where she courted Latino and African American voters at Sunday church services, barbershops, and restaurants.
“Philadelphia is a very important part of our path to victory,” Harris told reporters. “And it is the reason I’m spending time here but I’m feeling very optimistic about the enthusiasm that’s here and the commitment from folks of every background.”
5. Nevada
Like Pennsylvania, Nevada remains another state where polling shows a razor-thin race between Trump and Harris.
The New York Times poll average in the state shows the candidates tied at 48%, while the Washington Post poll average shows Harris leading by less than 1 point.
RealClearPolitics poll average shows Trump leading by less than 1 point, 47.8% to 47.1%, in the state. An AARP poll also showed Trump with a 1-point lead over Harris, 47% to 46%, in the Silver State.
Harris is headed to Las Vegas and Reno on Thursday after billionaire Mark Cuban stumped in the state for her on Sunday to tout her economic plan.
6. Michigan
Despite the tensions of Arab and Muslim Americans angry over the Israel-Hamas war, Harris continues to poll slightly above Trump consistently.
The Washington Post poll average shows Harris leading Trump by 2 points, while FiveThirtyEight’s poll average shows Harris with a narrow lead of less than 1 point, 47.6% to 47.3%.
The New York Times poll average shows the two candidates again tied at 48%, while RealClearPolitics poll average shows Trump with a less than 1-point lead, 47.9% to 47.8%.
With the tenuous lead, Harris called in the big guns when she and former first lady Michelle Obama campaigned together in Kalamazoo on Saturday.
“Please do not hand our fates over to the likes of Trump, who knows nothing about us, who has shown deep contempt for us, because a vote for him is a vote against us,” Obama said in a speech focused heavily on abortion.
7. Wisconsin
In Wisconsin, Harris has another consistent but slim lead over Trump in the final week before the election.
The New York Times poll average shows Harris leading Trump by 1 point, 49% to 48%, as does the Washington Post survey.
FiveThirtyEight poll average in the state shows both Harris and Trump are tied at 47.8% while RealClearPolitics poll average shows Trump with a narrow lead, 48.1% to 47.8%.
However, a recent USA Today/Suffolk University poll shows Trump leading by 1 point, 48% to 47%.
On Monday night, the Harris campaign relied on progressive lawmakers Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-NY) and Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-VT) to campaign in Madison for Harris and Walz. Sanders also appeared in Oshkosh early Monday afternoon.
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