Biden’s Defense Department’s Nuclear Weapons Management Poses Significant Risk, Says Gov Accountability Office.
The Department of Defense (DOD) is facing a significant risk to national security due to its current management of nuclear weapons, according to the latest report from the Government Accountability Office (GAO). The GAO report, published on Thursday, highlights the DOD’s failure to address oversight issues since 2021. This lack of continuity in nuclear oversight structure began during the final week of the Trump administration.
The GAO expressed concern about the DOD’s frequent modifications to its nuclear enterprise oversight structure, stating that it puts oversight continuity at risk and could impact senior leaders’ ability to make informed decisions. One notable change occurred on January 14, 2021, just six days before President Joe Biden took office, when Acting Secretary of Defense Chris Miller replaced the Nuclear Deterrent Enterprise Review Group (NDERG) with the Secretary of Defense Nuclear Transition Review (SNTR). The SNTR was then replaced by the Deputy’s Management Action Group (DMAG) last year.
In an August 2021 report on the SNTR, the GAO raised concerns about the group’s lack of specific roles, responsibilities, and communication procedures. Despite the GAO’s recommendations, the DOD has only implemented one out of three, which involves providing guidance to ensure progress on the 2014 nuclear enterprise review recommendations.
In a related January 2022 report, the GAO issued four additional recommendations regarding DOD coordination with the Department of Energy (DOE), which is responsible for nuclear weapons modernization and infrastructure. However, none of these recommendations have been met.
The GAO’s latest report once again urges the DOD to address its unmet recommendations, which include clarifying roles and responsibilities of oversight organizations, establishing effective communication and collaboration methods, prioritizing programs within the nuclear enterprise, and monitoring issues affecting it.
These oversight issues were identified during the GAO’s review of the DOD’s nuclear triad modernization efforts. The nuclear triad consists of land, sea, and air nuclear weapons that form the nation’s deterrence system. However, all three components are decades past their planned service life.
The DOD estimates that modernizing the nuclear defense systems will cost approximately $350 billion over the next 20 years. The land leg, which includes intercontinental ballistic missiles (ICBMs), currently relies on the Minuteman III system, which is nearly 50 years old. It is scheduled to be replaced by the Sentinel missile system in 2030.
The sea leg, consisting of ballistic missile submarines (SSBNs), currently uses Ohio-class submarines designed in the 1970s. The DOD extended their service life to 42 years, but they will be replaced by the Columbia-class SSBNs starting in 2027.
The air leg, represented by bomber planes, includes the B-52 and B-2 bombers. The B-52 has been in operation since the 1950s, while the B-2 has been in operation since the 1990s. The B-52 is expected to last until the 2050s with modifications, but the GAO emphasizes the need for greater urgency in modernization. The B-2 will be replaced by the B-21 bombers in the coming years.
The GAO issued a report in January with six recommendations for conducting a schedule risk analysis on the Columbia-class SSBNs, but none of these recommendations have been implemented.
What steps will the DOD take to clarify the roles and responsibilities of key organizations within the nuclear oversight structure and ensure accountability, as recommended by the GAO
Nuclear oversight. Firstly, the GAO recommended that the DOD establish a plan to evaluate the effectiveness of the current nuclear oversight structure and to address any gaps or weaknesses. Secondly, they suggested that the DOD develop and implement a comprehensive communication strategy to ensure effective coordination and exchange of information among senior leaders and stakeholders. Thirdly, the GAO recommended that the DOD clarify the roles and responsibilities of key organizations within the nuclear oversight structure to avoid confusion and ensure accountability. Lastly, they advised the DOD to establish a mechanism to assess and address any risks or challenges associated with changes in leadership and transitions.
The GAO’s concerns are warranted, as the management of nuclear weapons is a critical aspect of national security. The lack of continuity and clarity in the DOD’s oversight structure creates vulnerabilities that could be exploited by malicious actors or result in inefficiencies and miscommunication. Moreover, changes to the oversight structure shortly before a new administration takes office raises questions about the motives and potential implications of such decisions.
The DOD must take these concerns seriously and promptly address the recommendations put forth by the GAO. Failure to do so not only puts national security at risk but also undermines the confidence of the American people in the DOD’s ability to effectively manage and safeguard nuclear weapons.
Clear channels of communication, well-defined roles and responsibilities, and a robust evaluation process are all essential components of an effective oversight structure. By implementing the GAO’s recommendations, the DOD can enhance its ability to make informed decisions, ensure accountability, and mitigate risks to national security.
Furthermore, it is crucial for the DOD to prioritize stability and continuity in its nuclear enterprise oversight structure. Changes in leadership and transitions should be carefully managed to minimize disruptions and ensure a smooth transition of responsibilities.
Ultimately, the DOD has a paramount duty to protect the nation’s security and maintain the credibility of its nuclear deterrence. This requires a strong and reliable oversight structure that can effectively address evolving threats, adapt to changing circumstances, and provide timely and accurate information to senior leaders.
To achieve this, the DOD must heed the warnings and recommendations of the GAO and take immediate action to address the deficiencies in its current nuclear oversight management. The national security of the United States depends on it.
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