Biden’s Approval Rating Hits Record Low, Leading Pollster Hints at Possible Dropout Threshold Reached
Nate Silver, a notable pollster from FiveThirtyEight, raised concerns due to President Joe Biden reaching a historic low in approval ratings, reported at 37.4%. Silver pondered whether Biden’s continued participation in the upcoming re-election could be more of a liability if his ratings continue to fall. This question follows a significant decline in Biden’s popularity among younger voters compared to his strong performance with this demographic in the 2020 election. Additionally, with the entrance of third-party candidates potentially influencing voter preferences, former President Donald Trump, who is currently leading the Republican front, appears to be gaining traction among younger voters. This situation signals potential challenges for Biden in maintaining his support base as election day approaches.
By Michael Austin June 10, 2024 at 5:07pm
Prominent FiveThirtyEight pollster Nate Silver posed a foreboding question for Democrats on Monday.
The question came on the heels of a devastating revelation for President Joe Biden’s re-election campaign.
The president just reached a new all-time low in approval. According to FiveThirtyEight’s average of national polls, Biden’s approval rating stands at a mere 37.6 percent.
This prompted Silver’s foreboding question.
But Biden just hit a new all-time low in approval (37.4%) at 538 yesterday. Dropping out would be a big risk. But there’s some threshold below which continuing to run is a bigger risk. Are we there yet? I don’t know. But it’s more than fair to ask. pic.twitter.com/1nmoKQkW85
— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) June 10, 2024
“… Biden just hit a new all-time low in approval (37.4%) at 538 yesterday. Dropping out would be a big risk. But there’s some threshold below which continuing to run is a bigger risk. Are we there yet?” Silver wrote.
“I don’t know. But it’s more than fair to ask.”
Silver also pointed out that if projections hold, former President Donald Trump, the presumptive Republican nominee, will top the incumbent Democrat by seven points.
Will Biden be the Democratic nominee in November?
Trump’s current approval rating stands at 41.6 percent according to FiveThirtyEight.
According to a May 30 report from NPR, one of the biggest advantages Biden had in the 2020 election — young voters — appears to be slipping away.
According to 2020 exit polls cited by the outlet, Biden won voters age 18-29 by over 20 points and voters under 45 by 14 points.
Both once-wide leads have been nearly decimated as of May.
Biden’s 14-point lead with voters under 45 years old has been cut to just four points.
With Gen-Z and Millennials, Biden only leads by six points.
But that’s all before you introduce the independent and third-party candidates.
With independent candidates Robert F. Kennedy Jr. and Cornel West and Green Party candidate Jill Stein in the mix, Trump actually leads the Gen-Z/Millennial vote by six points and those under 45 by eight points.
Since this polling took place, the Libertarian party nominated its own candidate, Chase Oliver.
Oliver, a pro-LGBT candidate who went viral for previously defending drag queen story hour shortly after his nomination, plans to target “young voters angry about the Israel-Hamas war on college campuses, Twitch and TikTok,” according to Politico.
Should these strategies result in more young votes being pulled away from Democrats than Republicans, Trump’s lead among young voters could grow even wider come election day.
A Note from Our Deputy Managing Editor:
I heard a chilling comment the other day: “We don’t even know if an election will be held in 2024.”
That wasn’t said by a conspiracy theorist or a doomsday prophet. No, former U.S. national security advisor Lt. Gen. Michael Flynn said that to the founder of The Western Journal, Floyd Brown.
Gen. Flynn’s warning means that the 2024 election is the most important election for every single living American. If we lose this one to the wealthy elites who hate us, hate God, and hate what America stands for, we can only assume that 248 years of American history and the values we hold dear to our hearts may soon vanish.
The end game is here, and as Benjamin Franklin said, “We must all hang together, or assuredly we shall all hang separately.”
All of this means that without you, it’s over. We have the platform, the journalists, and the experience to fight back hard, but Big Tech is strangling us through advertising blacklists, shadow bans, and algorithms. Did you know that we’ve been blacklisted by 90% of advertisers? Without direct support from you, our readers, we can’t continue the fight.
Can we count on your support? It may not seem like much, but a Western Journal Membership can make all the difference in the world because when you support us directly, you cut Big Tech out of the picture. They lose control.
A monthly Western Journal Membership costs less than one coffee and breakfast sandwich each month, and it gets you access to ALL of our content — news, commentary, and premium articles. You’ll experience a radically reduced number of ads, and most importantly you will be vitally supporting the fight for America’s soul in 2024.
We are literally counting on you because without our members, The Western Journal would cease to exist. Will you join us in the fight?
Sincerely,
Josh Manning
Deputy Managing Editor
The Western Journal
" Conservative News Daily does not always share or support the views and opinions expressed here; they are just those of the writer."
*As an Amazon Associate I earn from qualifying purchases
Now loading...