Biden counts on disgruntled voters to prevent a big letdown
President Biden Relies on New Hampshire Democrats for Reelection
President Joe Biden is placing the fate of his reelection campaign in the hands of New Hampshire Democrats, a voting bloc he “pissed off” after the national party worked tirelessly to remove the state’s first-in-the-nation primary status.
Though South Carolina is the first Democratic National Committee-sanctioned primary, New Hampshire will continue to hold its Democratic primary on Jan. 23 — but Biden will not be on the ballot, much to the dismay of state Democrats who are angry that the president advocated ending the state’s 100-year reign.
“I love Joe Biden, I think he’s just been a great president,”
former state Democratic Party Chairwoman Kathy Sullivan, who is now running a pro-Biden super PAC, said to NBC News. “Having said that, I’m still pissed. But you compartmentalize that. You just put that aside.”
Biden directed the DNC to overhaul the 2024 primary calendar last year and place South Carolina, which he won in 2020, ahead of New Hampshire, which he lost that year. The overhaul was part of a larger goal to find more diverse states to lead off the 2024 presidential primary season.
The fight that followed between state and national Democrats led to the DNC saying it would not allocate delegates to the winner of the unsanctioned Democratic primary — a major blow to the state party, which eventually told the DNC it was engaging in voter suppression by calling the contest “meaningless.”
“Well, it’s safe to say in New Hampshire, the DNC is less popular than the NY Yankees,”
New Hampshire Democratic Party Chairman Raymond Buckley previously said to CNN.
New Hampshire Democrats are still anticipating a large voter turnout, so Biden must now rely on the people he shoved to the side to participate in a write-in campaign for him. He is facing a lose-lose situation, as he is not likely to receive any delegates from the New Hampshire primary since the party will not recognize its results. His performance against Rep. Dean Phillips (D-MN) and Marianne Williamson will also be closely judged, with any weak numbers setting the tone for the rest of his reelection campaign — which is already on shifting sands with donors and supporters.
The New Hampshire primary will ultimately serve as a test for national Democrats as to whether their strategy will play out as anticipated: that Democrats will rally behind Biden no matter what to keep Trump out of the White House.
The write-in campaign, as it has no rallies, ads, or field offices, is being vastly outspent by Phillips, though most surveys show Biden considerably ahead of the Minnesota Democrat. The budget for Biden’s write-in campaign is around $700,000, NBC News reported, which is mainly going toward printing signs explaining the write-in process. To compare, Phillips’s campaign spent $589,000 alone on TV ads during the week between Christmas and New Year’s Day, according to an AdImpact analysis.
Despite the frustration, the state Democratic Party establishment has acknowledged that they must help Biden accomplish what the DNC will not allow him to do for the sake of the general election, where Biden will likely face former President Donald Trump in a 2020 rematch.
“This is about the general election when you come right down to it,”
Democratic state Sen. David Watters, a leader of the Biden write-in effort, said. “There’s too much at stake to have a snit or get our noses bent out of shape about the primary.”
Mostly, Democrats are just hoping that Biden does not embarrass himself, with the state party mostly lodging complaints against the DNC.
“I have no doubt that Joe Biden is committed to this state,”
Watters said. “I just think there was a lot of bad advice from the DNC.”
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What impact will the president’s decision to prioritize South Carolina over New Hampshire have on his relationships with the state’s Democrats?
Ers being seen as a dent in his reelection prospects.
Despite the tension between Biden and New Hampshire Democrats, the president has made efforts to mend fences and gain support from the state. He has promised to visit the state multiple times throughout his presidency and has reached out to local Democratic leaders to rebuild relationships.
However, the question remains whether these efforts will be enough to secure the support of New Hampshire Democrats who feel slighted by his actions. The state has a long history of political engagement and has prided itself on its first-in-the-nation primary status. Losing this status has been seen as a blow to the state’s political influence and prestige.
Furthermore, the president’s decision to prioritize South Carolina, a state with a more diverse electorate, over New Hampshire has raised concerns about his commitment to representing all Americans. While diversifying the primary calendar is a noble goal, many New Hampshire Democrats feel that their voices and concerns have been disregarded in the process.
As the January 23 primary approaches, Biden’s reliance on New Hampshire Democrats for his reelection becomes increasingly apparent. Their support will be crucial in securing a victory in the state and winning over skeptical voters. The president must find a way to bridge the divide and convince New Hampshire Democrats that he values their input and will prioritize their concerns.
It remains to be seen whether the write-in campaign organized by loyal supporters will be enough to sway the results in Biden’s favor. The absence of official recognition from the party may dampen enthusiasm for the campaign and hinder its success.
The outcome of the New Hampshire primary will undoubtedly have an impact on the trajectory of Biden’s reelection campaign. A strong showing and widespread support from New Hampshire Democrats could bolster his image and provide momentum moving forward. On the other hand, a lackluster performance or lukewarm support could signal trouble ahead for the president.
Only time will tell how the relationship between Biden and New Hampshire Democrats will play out in the coming months. The president’s fate hangs in the balance as he navigates the fallout from his decision to prioritize South Carolina over the state that traditionally held the first primary. It will be a test of his ability to heal divisions within his own party and rally support from those who feel alienated.
Regardless of the outcome, one thing is clear – New Hampshire Democrats hold significant sway over Biden’s chances of reelection. Their role as a key voting bloc cannot be underestimated, and the president must work diligently to win back their trust and secure their support.
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