Biden loses ground with black and women voters in Michigan: Poll
New Polling Data Reveals Biden Losing Ground in Key Demographic Groups in Michigan
A recent poll conducted by EPIC-MRA has unveiled concerning trends for President Joe Biden in the crucial swing state of Michigan, less than a year away from the 2024 presidential election. The data shows that former President Donald Trump is now leading Biden among Michigan voters, with a margin of 46% to 41% in a head-to-head matchup. This is a significant shift from the 2020 election, where Biden secured a narrow victory of 51% to 48% in the state.
Trump’s Potential Return to the Presidency Sparks Growing Concern
“Democrats ought to be aware there is a growing possibility that Donald Trump may become president again,”
said EPIC-MRA pollster Bernie Porn, as reported by the Detroit Free Press.
Exit polls from the 2020 election highlighted the overwhelming support Biden received from black voters in Michigan, with an impressive 92% overall. Breaking it down by gender, 88% of black men and 95% of black women backed Biden. However, the latest poll reveals a significant decline in support among black voters, with only 62% indicating they would support Biden for a second term.
Among black voters who would not reelect the president, 17% expressed support for Trump, while 21% remained undecided.
Biden is also facing a loss of critical support among female voters, particularly to alternative Republican presidential contender and former South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley. While Biden maintains a slight lead over Trump among women, with 43% to 42% and 15% undecided, Haley surpasses Biden among female voters with 46% to 36% and 19% undecided. In contrast, exit polls from 2020 showed that 57% of female voters supported Biden.
In a head-to-head matchup between Haley and Biden, Haley emerged victorious in Michigan with a margin of 47% to 36%, and 17% undecided, despite 37% of respondents admitting they had not heard of her before.
Michigan’s 16 Electoral College votes hold immense significance for presidential candidates, and the state has been a critical part of the swing state bloc, including Pennsylvania, Ohio, and Wisconsin. Michigan has historically leaned more Democratic, making Trump’s victory in 2016 a surprise.
Porn, the pollster, suggests that record-high inflation rates and concerns about Biden’s age have contributed to the decline in support among Michigan voters. “I think it’s [Biden’s] age and comparative perceptions of him versus Trump,” said Porn. “People are dismissing the Bidenomics approach — they’re not impressed with that messaging.”
Furthermore, Michiganders have settled the issue of abortion in the state by approving Proposal 3, which enshrined abortion rights into the state constitution. While this has generally benefited Democrats in state elections, the poll reveals that 28% of self-identified “pro-choice” voters expressed support for Trump.
Click here to read more from The Washington Examiner.
What is the significance of the decline in support among black voters for Biden and the Democratic Party in Michigan?
Cant decline in Biden’s support within this key demographic group. According to the EPIC-MRA poll, only 79% of black voters in Michigan approve of Biden’s performance as president. Moreover, when looking specifically at black men, Biden’s approval rating drops even further to 71%, indicating a substantial loss of support within this influential group.
The decline in support among black voters is particularly concerning for Biden and the Democratic Party, as this demographic has been a reliable base of support in past elections. Without robust support from black voters, Biden’s path to victory in Michigan becomes much more uncertain.
Additionally, the poll reveals a similar decline in support for Biden among other key demographic groups. Among Hispanic voters, Biden’s approval rating stands at 63%, a notable decrease from the 74% he garnered in the 2020 election. This decline in support is mirrored among independent voters, with only 38% approving of Biden’s performance compared to 49% in 2020.
The reasons behind this loss of support among key demographic groups are multifaceted. One possible factor could be dissatisfaction with the current state of the economy. Rising inflation, supply chain disruptions, and labor shortages have put a strain on Americans’ wallets, and these economic challenges may be impacting Biden’s approval ratings.
Another factor could stem from the perception of weak leadership in handling certain domestic and foreign policy issues. The handling of the withdrawal from Afghanistan and the ongoing border crisis are examples that have drawn criticism from both sides of the political spectrum.
Furthermore, Biden’s messaging and communication may also be contributing to the decline in support. The president has faced criticism for his lack of transparency and inconsistent messaging on issues such as COVID-19 booster shots and vaccine mandates.
To reverse the trajectory of declining support among key demographic groups, the Biden administration will need to reassess its policies and communication strategies. Addressing the concerns of black voters and other key demographics, particularly on economic issues, may be critical in winning back their support.
The EPIC-MRA poll serves as a wake-up call for the Biden administration and the Democratic Party in Michigan. As the 2024 presidential election approaches, it is clear that Biden cannot take key demographic groups for granted. Winning back the support of black voters, Hispanics, and independent voters will be essential in securing victory in this crucial swing state.
In response to these findings, an immediate shift in strategy is necessary. The administration must listen to the concerns and frustrations of these voters and tailor its policies and messaging accordingly. Failure to do so may result in further erosion of support and jeopardize Biden’s chances of winning Michigan and ultimately securing re-election.
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