Dems fear third-party candidate may give 2024 win to GOP.

Democrats Fear Third-Party Ticket Could Aid Republican Victory in 2024 Election

As the 2024 election approaches, Democrats are concerned about the possibility of a rematch between former President Donald Trump and President Joe Biden, as well as the impact of a third-party ticket on the outcome.

The third-party vote has -party candidate may give 2024 win to GOP.”>significantly affected recent elections. In 2020, it helped Biden secure the White House, but in 2016, it contributed to former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton’s loss.

No Labels: The Centrist Party Group

The biggest challenge for Democrats is the No Labels, a centrist party group working to gain access to ballots across all 50 states to open the doors for a third-party candidate in the presidential elections. The group is spending $70 million to launch an independent ticket in the United States and has gained momentum in Arizona, Colorado, Alaska, and Oregon.

For the 2024 election, No Labels is seeking to offer alternative candidates for voters who do not want to see another showdown between Biden and Trump. However, the organization’s chairmen, former Connecticut Sen. Joe Lieberman and Benjamin F. Chavis Jr., reject the notion that their project would inevitably help former President Trump’s electoral prospects if he were the Republican nominee.

No Labels Poll Results

A No Labels poll conducted in March found that 59% of respondents would consider voting for a centrist independent candidate over Biden and Trump. In a three-person race, the independent candidate received 20% of the support, compared with 33% for Trump and 28% for Biden.

“No third-party candidate has ever come remotely close to winning, including Theodore Roosevelt, running on a Progressive Party ticket just four years after leaving office as an enormously popular Republican president. In fact, no third-party candidate has won a single electoral vote since 1968,” the group wrote. “Though it can’t win the race, No Labels can affect the outcome.”

The Impact of Third-Party Votes

A 2020 exit poll conducted by NBC News found that 5% of national voters cast ballots for third-party candidates in 2016, with those voters moving to Biden by more than a 2-to-1 ratio in 2020. In the latter election, Biden beat Trump by close to 20,000 votes in Wisconsin and about 10,000 votes in Arizona and Georgia — three states Clinton lost in 2016.

Navin Nayak, the president of the Center for American Progress Action Fund, believes the third-party vote will resemble the share in 2020, at 2%, rather than the share in 2016. He attributes this to voters hoping to move away from Trump this time around after seeing his work as president and what he’s done since losing the 2020 election.

“I think a lot of people thought they were casting a nonconsequential third-party vote in 2016,” Nayak said.

• Democrats are worried about a third-party ticket aiding a Republican victory in the 2024 election.
• The No Labels, a centrist party group, is working to gain access to ballots across all 50 states to open the doors for a third-party candidate in the presidential elections.
• A No Labels poll conducted in March found that 59% of respondents would consider voting for a centrist independent candidate over Biden and Trump.
• A 2020 exit poll conducted by NBC News found that 5% of national voters cast ballots for third-party candidates in 2016, with those voters moving to Biden by more than a 2-to-1 ratio in 2020.

It remains to be seen how the third-party vote will impact the 2024 election, but it’s clear that Democrats are taking it seriously and are working to prevent a repeat of 2016.

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