Experts Weigh in on Recession Talk’s Impact on Midterms, Biden

News Analysis

From the Roe v. Wade reversal and the Jan. 6, 2021, breach of the U.S. Capitol to the FBI’s search of Donald Trump’s Mar-a-Lago residence and President Joe Biden’s busy August, a long list of topics are on the minds of Americans.

The economy, many political strategists believe, remains the number-one issue for voters as midterm elections approach.

Pundits and officials from both parties are sharing their opinions about whether the economy’s current condition will affect the November general election as Republicans strive to regain control of the House and the Senate.

While speaking to a crowd of donors in a Maryland suburb last week, Biden launched his mission to get Democratic candidates elected in November.

Former President Donald Trump greets supporters during a rally in Waukesha, Wis., on Aug. 5, 2022. (Scott Olson/Getty Images)

He touted that the economy is “heading in the right direction” and warned that Republicans are stripping Americans of reproductive rights and voting rights while bowing to extremists and the toxic influence of former President Donald Trump.

“What we’re seeing now is either the beginning or the death knell of an extreme MAGA philosophy,” Biden said. “It’s not just Trump. It’s the entire philosophy that undermines the—I’m going to say something—it’s like semi-fascism.”

Historical trends show that the party that occupies the White House loses seats in midterm elections.

“Republicans don’t need a wave to win back the House and Senate,” Nathan Gonzales, publisher of nonpartisan political handicapper Inside Elections, wrote in a tweet.

Red Wave?

Last week, Democrat Pat Ryan defeated favored Republican Marcus Molinaro in a special election to fill a vacant seat in New York’s 19th Congressional District.

The upstate New York district voted for Barack Obama in 2012, Trump in 2016, and Biden in 2022, making it a bellwether.

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