GOP Voters Are Being Undercounted Again: Independent Pollster
A top independent pollster suggested that Republican voters are being undercounted in surveys ahead of the Nov. 8 midterm elections.
Robert Cahaly, Trafalgar Group’s founder and its senior strategist and pollster, said Republicans might not be inclined to reveal their political views to pollsters following President Joe Biden’s speech on Sept. 1 targeting “MAGA Republicans.”
“These submerged voters aren’t answering polls, they aren’t putting stickers on their cars, or signs in their yard—they’re not even posting on social media,” Cahaly said in a Daily Wire podcast. “They are underwater. They’re not saying a word to anybody until election day.”
What’s more, Cahaly asserted that voters should not trust mainstream polls in the coming weeks, noting that previous elections undercounted Republicans and favored Democrats.
“Polls have two purposes,” he said. “They’re either to reflect the electorate, or they’re to affect the electorate—and too many of these media and university-based polls are designed to affect the electorate and are trying to create a false narrative quite often when there’s not one.”
Cahaly made reference to the Biden speech in Philadelphia that accused supporters of former President Donald Trump of being a threat to U.S. institutions, coming just a few weeks after the FBI’s raid of Trump’s Mar-a-Lago resort. While he spoke in front of a dark red-lit background flanked by two Marines, Biden said Trump and his followers “represent an extremism that threatens the very foundations” of the United States.
Prior Polls
During the 2020 election cycle, there were “hidden voters” that were undercounted, Cahaly wrote on Twitter several weeks ago.
President Joe Biden delivers a primetime speech at Independence National Historical Park in Philadelphia on Sept. 1, 2022. (Alex Wong/Getty Images)
“Now [the] Biden administration has essentially classified ‘MAGA Republicans’ as a threat to democracy marshaling federal law enforcement to focus on
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