Harris has ‘no path to victory’ in Georgia if she does worse than Biden: Tiana Lowe Doescher – Washington Examiner
In a recent analysis by Tiana Lowe Doescher published in the *Washington Examiner*, it was emphasized that Vice President Kamala Harris’s prospects for victory in Georgia hinge on her ability to secure a significant share of the state’s minority voters. The argument is rooted in the slim margin by which Joe Biden won Georgia in 2020, specifically by around 12,000 votes. Doescher suggests that to alter Republican strategies moving forward, Harris must aim to capture 75% of the black vote and half of the Hispanic vote in the state.
She articulated concerns that if Harris’s support among these voter groups lags by 10 points compared to Biden’s performance, she would face a dire path to victory. Moreover, Doescher speculated that white college-educated, independent, and older voters might need to rally behind Harris as they did for Biden to make a difference in the upcoming election. The political landscape is further complicated by the reconciliatory gestures between former President Trump and Georgia’s Governor Brian Kemp after their past disputes, indicating a united front that could impact the election dynamics.
Harris has ‘no path to victory’ in Georgia if she does worse than Biden: Tiana Lowe Doescher
The Washington Examiner’s Tiana Lowe Doescher argued Vice President Kamala Harris needs to win a sizable portion of Georgia’s minority voter bloc if she plans to win the state, citing how close the vote total was in 2020.
Then-presidential candidate Joe Biden won Georgia over former President Donald Trump by roughly 12,000 votes in 2020, with Doescher suggesting this was because Biden courted “rural, working-class voters” in one of the most diverse states in the nation. Doescher added that if Harris can win 75% of black voters and half of the state’s Hispanic voters, it would change “the generational strategy” for Republicans in the years to come.
“So the hope would be that white college-educated voters, independent voters, and older voters aren’t just over-responding to these polls, and it is possible that they can save her, they can come close in the same way they help Joe Biden win in 2020,” Doescher said on Fox News’s Your World with Neil Cavuto. “But if she performs 10 points behind Biden’s margin with black voters and Hispanics, there’s no path to victory there.”
Ahead of the election, Trump and Gov. Brian Kemp (R-GA) appear to have buried the hatchet after feuding with each other since late 2020, as the governor did not push Trump’s claims he did not legitimately lose the 2020 election. However, the former president has seemingly made amends with Kemp, calling their past feuds a “small distraction.”
Doescher also addressed the debate between Harris and Trump next month, arguing that this debate will be “high risk, high reward” for the Democratic candidate, similar to the first debate Biden did with Trump before bowing out of his reelection bid less than a month later. Similar to Biden, Doescher noted, Harris will have done very few interviews ahead of this debate, with Harris’s first interview as a 2024 presidential candidate set for Thursday
“This debate for her is really make or break in the same way this interview is make or break,” Doescher said. “So her best option rather than having to defend her own record is to go Donald Trump.”
The next presidential debate will be hosted by ABC News, and will air on Sept. 10. Early voting in a handful of states will begin a little more than a week later.
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