The federalist

China’s faltering real estate market jeopardizes global economy.

China’s Real-Estate Market in Crisis

China’s once booming real-estate market is now in ⁣turmoil, with one of its⁤ largest developers, ​Evergrande, filing for bankruptcy. This has significant implications not only for China’s economy but ⁤also for⁢ the global economy.

The Role of​ the Chinese Communist Party

The Chinese Communist Party’s policies have long influenced the real-estate sector. After taking control of China in 1949, the party abolished private property‌ rights and nationalized land‌ and home ownership. The government ⁤controlled all ​housing,​ resulting in poorly built⁣ public housing units.

  • City ⁣dwellers ⁢received public housing allocations based on needs ⁤and social class.
  • Most of these units were small and poorly‍ constructed.
  • Low rent was the only attractive feature due to government subsidies.

In the 1980s, the Chinese government recognized⁢ the need to stimulate economic growth and ‌began privatizing public housing, encouraging homeownership, and welcoming⁣ private companies to develop real estate.

Demand and ​Wealth Building

China’s urbanization⁢ movement and growing ‍household disposable income fueled demand for housing.​ With limited investment options, buying a house became a way for Chinese people to build wealth and save for retirement.

  • About 90 percent of Chinese families ⁢own their homes.
  • The real-estate sector ​represents almost a third of the nation’s GDP.
  • However,⁤ the market’s growth has been accompanied by numerous problems.

Challenges in the Real-Estate ⁤Market

State-owned⁤ banks provided easy credit to developers with little oversight, leading to over-leveraging. Presale permits allowed developers ‌to sell⁣ properties before completion, but​ lax regulations allowed⁤ them to⁣ misuse the proceeds.

  • Developers faced little restriction in spending presale ⁣proceeds on‌ unrelated projects.
  • China is now‍ saturated with incomplete housing projects, known as “ghost cities.”

Xi’s Wealth Redistribution

Under Xi ‌Jinping’s ‌leadership, ⁢the Chinese government‍ cracked down⁤ on private ⁤companies and arrested prominent entrepreneurs. Xi’s “common prosperity” policy aims⁢ to ⁤redistribute ​income and wealth ⁤through ‍coercive means.

Developers Struggle

New government regulations, combined with the ⁤impact ⁢of the Covid-19 pandemic, have‌ further strained China’s overleveraged developers. Housing​ sales have dropped, and⁢ some developers ‍have filed ⁢for⁢ bankruptcy or suspended trading on‌ their bonds.

Worldwide Ramifications

China’s economic ​struggles will⁤ have global implications. Investors have ⁢already suffered significant losses, and slowing‍ economic growth will reduce China’s ⁢demand for commodities and natural ⁤resources.​ Additionally, China’s domestic unrest ‍may lead ⁢to geopolitical tensions.

It is crucial ⁣to recognize that ​none of us ​are immune to China’s problems,⁣ as demonstrated by the Covid-19 pandemic.



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