If Taiwan Falls, What Happens to America?

Conservative News DailyFebruary 22, 2023

We can see what it would look like through tabletop exercises and war games. China Taiwan is attacked. They say very little about Taiwan’s importance and worth it being defended. A new study examines what Americans would lose if they lose Taiwan — and what might happen next.

It is important to realize that Taiwan is very significant. The Taiwan Strait is increasingly being viewed as the strategic nerve center of America by its military and political leaders. No other point is as unstable structurally, as political vexing and as likely as the Taiwan Strait to bring the world’s superpowers into war.

It is important to understand that Invasion This is no longer impossible. Both in word and deed. Chairman Xi Jinping China is signaling its intention to exterminate Taiwan’s government. There is a lot of evidence that China is preparing to do something horrible. Washington is increasingly worried that it’s not a matter of if Xi plans attack Taiwan. When and how.

You have to think it through

Conflict is not inevitable. It is also debatable if China’s high command operates according to a set timeline. Xi believes that a campaign coercion will be successful in destroying Taiwan’s resistance to annexation.

The question of what would happen next is an important aspect of the Taiwan defense debate. What might happen if Taiwan is conquered by China’s People’s Republic of China. What impact would that have on the United States’ national security policy?

While much will depend on the outcome of the war and the actions taken by the U.S., there are some troubling implications that can be attributed to any event. Due to its exceptional political character, unique military and intelligence capabilities and critical role in global high technology supply chains, Taiwan is of greater strategic importance for America.

The Chinese Communist Party captured the Republic of China (Taiwan), and the entire world would be without a leader democracy. This would be a traumatic – and probably catastrophic – event in the history of American foreign policy.

When Democracy Dieth

Taiwan was ranked as one of the 10 most free countries at the time this article was written. Freedom House gave Taiwan a score of 94/100 in 2022 for global freedom measures. China was ranked close to the bottom, while the U.S. was ranked 83. The U.S. and other countries have strong relations with Taiwan. All governments around the democratic world regard Taiwan as a responsible, likeminded country and a model for good governance.

However, Taiwan would be an occupied territory under China’s one party dictatorship if it was conquered. Taiwan, once a free country and independent nation, would be gone and replaced by a police state.

It is possible that the Communist Party will use terror tactics against the Taiwanese population. The mass surveillance-control complex, which is omnipresent throughout Xinjiang or Tibet, will likely be installed. Beijing would establish a local proxy government to rule the islands. The ROC government would also be removed from any territory.

The international community will feel the loss of one of its most respected democracies. There will be a growing awareness that authoritarianism is spreading and that illiberal forces are on the move. Many governments could feel a loss of Taiwan and experience a crisis in confidence. Observers might draw the conclusion that China’s Marxist-Leninist model was superior – or at the very least ascendant – and liberal democracies too weak to resist the new world order that Beijing was creating.

Capabilities of Intelligence and Military Capabilities Lost

The PLA will occupy Taiwan’s intelligence and military facilities, as well as its military bases, if Taiwan falls. The Chinese navy is expected to establish bases in Taiwan’s deep water ports. The PLA would find the naval bases along Taiwan’s eastern coast to be particularly valuable, as it would have unprecedented access to the deep oceans of the Pacific for the first time ever in its history.

Chinese missile and bomber units, based in Taiwan, would be able hold U.S. forces back from surprise raids after the annexation. PLA Navy surface-action groups and aviation units located in Taiwan and Penghu islands may threaten to blockade Japan and South Korea’s primary sea communications lines. The South China Sea’s top would be “corked” – providing PLA ballistic missile submarines with a maritime bastion and further reinforcing China’s military dominance of Southeast Asia.

The U.S. will lose access to an important information gathering hub and the American intelligence community will lose its primary gateway into China. Taiwan is an invaluable source of Mandarin language instruction and all-source intelligence about China. The Pentagon and CIA could produce flawed analytical products without Taiwan. This would leave policymakers ill-informed, and more likely to make strategic mistakes. U.S. intelligence failures may increase after a Chinese invasion of Taiwan.

Shattered Supply Chains

Taiwan is today the 8th largest trade partner of the United States and a pillar in our knowledge-based economy. The loss of millions of jobs in America would result from a cross-Strait conflict, which would cost trillions of money. The U.S. could experience economic depression across the globe if Taiwan is lost.

Recent Report Asserted that “Taiwan may be the most critical link in the entire technology ecosystem,” Because of its dominance within the chip sector, original engineering manufacturing, original design manufacturing and role as a hub for technology-related materials production. Taiwan’s future is determined by who controls it.

Harsh Geostrategic Reality

The PRC could have created a strong sphere of influence in Asia by seizing Taiwan. This could have severe implications for international laws, the idea national self-determination and the principle state sovereignty.

The U.S. would be seen as weakening its global diplomatic and military leadership. This could lead to a strain on the American alliance system and possibly the collapse of the United Nations System. China would be seen as the largest nation in the universe and the main mover of the 21st-century.

As Beijing moved toward its vision for a new, centralized, authoritarian global order, leaders would feel nervous. The pace of nuclear arms race would accelerate, and it could spiral out-of-control. This would lead to a new era of empires. The jungle rules.

America gets a vote

It is important to understand why Taiwan should be deterred from being attacked by Beijing. We also need to consider the consequences of failure. Accepting the reality of these stark scenarios is just the first step. The next step is to prevent aggression from escalating into a conflict.

The strategic importance of Taiwan means that the U.S. government needs to consider the potential benefits of having at least 1,500 special operation forces and marines present in Taiwan for training, advisory and liaison purposes. There are also low-cost, high-impact options such as ship visits, joint Taiwan Strait patrols, routine senior leader delegations between Washington and Taiwan. Bold actions will not upset Xi Jinping’s calculations or shake his confidence.

Washington would do the worst thing: give too much credence Beijing’s claims. “red lines”These laws have no international legal basis and were deliberately designed to make Taiwan more vulnerable and easier to conquer.

American leaders must stop the Chinese government from advancing their nation’s vital interests. While Taiwan’s future is uncertain at this time, America cannot afford its fall.

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