Independent Pollster Says 2022 Republican Voters Are Being Undercounted Again
A top independent pollster suggested that Republican voters will be undercounted before the 2022 midterm elections next month.
Robert Cahaly, the head of the Trafalgar Group, said that Republicans may not be inclined to reveal their political views to pollsters after President Joe Biden’s speech on Sept. 1 targeting “MAGA Republicans.”
“These submerged voters aren’t answering polls, they aren’t putting stickers on their cars, or signs in their yard—they’re not even posting on social media,” Cahaly said in a Daily Wire podcast. “They are underwater. They’re not saying a word to anybody until election day.”
What’s more, Cahaly asserted that voters should not trust mainstream polls in the coming weeks, noting that previous elections undercounted Republicans and favored Democrats.
“Polls have two purposes,” Cahaly remarked. “They’re either to reflect the electorate, or they’re to affect the electorate—and too many of these media and university-based polls are designed to affect the electorate and are trying to create a false narrative quite often when there’s not one.”
Cahaly made reference to the Biden speech in Philadelphia that accused supporters of former President Donald Trump of being a threat to U.S. institutions, coming just a few weeks after the FBI’s raid of Trump’s Mar-a-Lago resort. While he spoke in front of a dark red-lit background next to two Marines, Biden said Trump and his followers “represent an extremism that threatens the very foundations” of the United States.
Prior Polls
During the 2020 election cycle, there were “hidden voters” that were undercounted, Cahaly wrote on Twitter several weeks ago.
President Joe Biden delivers a primetime speech at Independence National Historical Park in Philadelphia on Sept. 1, 2022. (Alex Wong/Getty Images)
“Now [the] Biden administration has essentially classified ‘MAGA Republicans’ as a threat to democracy marshaling federal law enforcement to focus on them,” the pollster wrote at
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