New Polls: Biden Falters, Trump Gains in Primaries and General Elections
President Joe Biden Struggles in Polls as Donald Trump Surges Ahead
President Joe Biden continues to face a slump in his polling numbers, while his top rival Donald Trump gains more ground in both the Republican primary and general election surveys.
Trump Takes the Lead
Trump has reached a new high this week in the Real Clear Politics average of 2024 general election polls, now leading Biden with 47.2% compared to Biden’s 44.9%. This 2.3-point difference marks Trump’s largest advantage over Biden since May, according to the RCP average. In addition, Trump is also experiencing his highest polling numbers in the GOP primary this week, with a commanding lead of 59.8% over the next closest challenger, Florida Governor Ron DeSantis.
In the most recent polls comparing a general election rematch between Trump and Biden, Trump emerges as the frontrunner in all of them, with a 6-point lead in two surveys. The latest poll from Emerson shows Trump at 47% and Biden at 43% in a two-way race, indicating a 2-point drop for Biden since the last Emerson poll conducted a month ago. Similarly, Biden’s numbers fell by two points in the latest survey from The Messenger/Harris X, dropping from 49% to 47%, while Trump gained two points, rising from 51% to 53%.
The most recent Morning Consult poll also brings more bad news for Biden, as Trump sees improvement and Biden’s numbers decline. According to two Morning Consult polls conducted just a week apart, Trump’s support increased from 43% to 44%, while Biden’s dropped from 42% to 41%.
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Biden’s decline in the latest polls is accompanied by persistently low approval ratings, as the nation grapples with various crises at home and abroad. The Real Clear Politics average of the president’s approval numbers reveals that 55.5% of Americans disapprove of Biden’s performance, while only 40.6% approve. Some Democrats express frustration and concern about the re-election chances of the 81-year-old commander-in-chief, while also expressing bewilderment at Trump’s resurgence.
Trump’s rise in the polls coincides with multiple legal battles he faces, following charges of state and federal crimes related to his contesting of the 2020 election results and his handling of classified documents after leaving office.
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Trump’s dominance in the GOP primary remains unaffected, even with a shrinking Republican field after former Vice President Mike Pence and Senator Tim Scott (R-SC) dropped out of the race in recent weeks. Florida Governor Ron DeSantis now finds himself in a close competition with former South Carolina Governor Nikki Haley, who also served as the U.S. Ambassador to the United Nations. According to the RCP average, DeSantis currently holds a 13.5% support, while Haley has gained ground and now polls at 10.5%.
How has Biden’s handling of key issues such as the economy and border security affected his popularity?
The poll, Trump’s approval rating has risen by 4 points, from 45% to 49%, while Biden’s approval rating has dropped by 2 points, from 51% to 49%. This indicates a continuous decline in support for Biden and a resurgence of popularity for Trump.
There are several possible reasons for Biden’s struggles in the polls and Trump’s surge ahead. Firstly, Biden’s handling of key issues such as the economy and border security has come under criticism. Many Americans feel that Biden’s economic policies, including his proposed tax increases and increased regulation, will hinder economic growth and job creation. Additionally, Biden’s administration has faced challenges at the southern border with a surge in illegal immigration, which has raised concerns about national security and the enforcement of immigration laws.
Furthermore, Biden’s approval ratings have also been impacted by his handling of foreign policy. His decision to withdraw troops from Afghanistan and the subsequent Taliban takeover have been heavily criticized as reckless and poorly executed. This has damaged Biden’s image as a strong and competent leader on the international stage.
Another factor contributing to Biden’s declining popularity is the lack of progress on key domestic issues. Despite promising to tackle issues such as healthcare and infrastructure, Biden has struggled to pass significant legislation through Congress. This has led to frustration among voters who were expecting tangible results from his administration.
On the other hand, Trump’s surge in the polls can be attributed to his continued popularity among his base and his strong messaging. Trump has maintained a strong presence in the media, regularly appearing on conservative news outlets and utilizing social media platforms to communicate directly with his supporters. His messaging on issues such as immigration, law and order, and economic growth has resonated with many Americans who feel disillusioned with the current administration.
It is important to note that polling numbers can fluctuate and are not always indicative of the final outcome. The next few months will be crucial in determining the trajectory of Biden’s presidency and Trump’s potential candidacy in the 2024 election. As the political landscape evolves, it will be interesting to see how these polling trends develop and whether Biden can regain lost ground or if Trump’s surge will continue.
In conclusion, President Joe Biden is currently facing a slump in his polling numbers, while Donald Trump is surging ahead. Trump’s lead in both the Republican primary and general election surveys indicates a resurgence in his popularity among voters. Biden’s decline in the polls can be attributed to various factors including criticism of his economic policies, handling of foreign policy, and lack of progress on domestic issues. It remains to be seen how these polling trends will impact the future of Biden’s presidency and Trump’s potential candidacy in the 2024 election.
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