New Polls Show Biden Closing Gap in Crucial Swing States, Trump Maintains Lead

President Joe Biden is gaining ground in multiple 2024 swing states, the latest poll from Bloomberg found, but his Republican challenger Donald Trump still holds a lead in each of the seven battleground races, according to the RealClearPolitics polling average.

RCP considers Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin the top battleground states in the 2024 election. According to the current RCP average of polls, Trump remains in front in each of those states. A poll released by Bloomberg on Tuesday, however, shows Biden making significant gains in some of the swing states.

According to the Bloomberg survey, which polled nearly 5,000 voters in the seven swing states combined, Biden and Trump are tied in Michigan and Pennsylvania, while the president now posts a one-point lead in Wisconsin. The new poll decreases Trump’s lead in the RCP average to just 0.2 points in Pennsylvania, 0.8 points in Wisconsin, and 3.5 points in Michigan. The former president’s lead in Arizona and Georgia remains at a solid 5.2 points, and he’s up by 4.4 points in North Carolina and 3 points in Nevada, according to the RCP average.

Among the current seven battleground states, Trump only won North Carolina in the 2020 election. That was a drastic turn from Trump’s success in 2016 when he won each of the swing states except Nevada.

In a five-way race factoring in independent candidates Robert F. Kennedy Jr. and Cornel West, along with Green Party candidate Jill Stein, Trump leads nationally with 42.2% to Biden’s 39.5%, while Kennedy comes in third with 10.2%, the RCP average shows.

Some Democrats fear that Kennedy — who on Tuesday picked leftist attorney and Democrat donor Nicole Shanahan as his running mate — will hurt the president’s re-election chances and pull more potential Biden voters than potential Trump voters. During a Tuesday afternoon call hosted by the Democratic National Committee (DNC) and joined by multiple Democratic lawmakers, Pennsylvania Lieutenant Gov. Austin Davis warned that Kennedy is an “obstacle” to Biden’s re-election, Fox News reported.

“We are doing everything in our power to get President Biden and Vice President Harris re-elected. It’s critical that we take seriously every possible obstacle to that goal. And let me be clear, that’s exactly what Robert F. Kennedy is in this election. He’s a spoiler,” Davis said.

Michigan Democratic state Sen. Mallory McMorrow, who was also on the DNC call, agreed with Davis and said Kennedy’s candidacy “means that there is a greater likelihood that Donald Trump will become president again.”

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The Kennedy campaign continues its effort to get the independent candidate on the ballot in states nationwide. Recently, Kennedy secured spots on the ballots in the battleground states of Arizona and Georgia.

In a Truth Social post on Tuesday night, Trump slammed Kennedy, calling him “the most Radical Left Candidate in the race,” but added that he believes the Kennedy/Shanahan ticket would be good for his campaign and hurt Biden.

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