Poll: Majority in swing states favors third-party candidate over Trump-Biden rematch.
A Majority of Voters in Battleground States Open to Third-Party Candidate in 2024 Election
A report released on Tuesday reveals that a majority of registered voters in eight key battleground states would support a third-party candidate if the 2024 election featured a rematch between President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump. This latest poll conducted by the centrist group No Labels shows that approximately 63% of voters in these states are open to backing a centrist independent presidential ticket in the next election.
Furthermore, the poll indicates that most voters, with 72% opposing Biden’s reelection and 63% opposing Trump’s return to office, are not in favor of either major party candidate winning a second term. This sentiment creates an opportunity for an alternative candidate to attract votes away from the two major parties.
Voters Demand More Choices in 2024
“Voters in these states are sending a simple and powerful message: They want more choices in 2024 and they don’t like anyone working to limit their choices,” said No Labels Chief Strategist Ryan Clancy in a statement.
The study surveyed voters in eight crucial battleground states for the 2024 contest, including Arizona, Florida, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin. A significant 72% of voters in these states believe that having more ballot choices would contribute to a “healthier and more vibrant democracy.” This challenges the criticism that a third-party ticket would only serve as a “spoiler candidate.”
No Labels has gained prominence in recent months due to its efforts to expand ballot access for a third-party presidential candidate in the 2024 elections. The group has already secured access in 10 states and aims to appear on the ballot in all 50 states by next year. Currently, No Labels will be on the ballot in Alaska, Arizona, Arkansas, Colorado, Florida, Nevada, North Carolina, Oregon, South Dakota, and Utah.
However, Democratic groups have pushed back against No Labels and its initiatives, citing historical evidence that third-party candidates tend to perform poorly in general elections. On the other hand, some argue that a third-party ticket could provide a significant boost to the GOP and potentially lead to the election of Trump or a like-minded candidate.
Despite the opposition, No Labels has faced legal challenges seeking to prevent their inclusion on the ballot. One notable case occurred in Arizona, where Maricopa County Superior Court Judge Katherine Cooper ultimately ruled in favor of No Labels, recognizing them as a political party that met the requirements to appear on the ballot. The poll revealed that a substantial majority of voters, 74%, deemed it “inappropriate” for members of the major parties to block alternative parties from the 2024 ballot, with 73% considering it “voter choice suppression.”
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While the group has not yet announced its nominees, No Labels plans to hold a nominating convention in April if it proceeds with its third-party ticket plans. Senator Joe Manchin (D-WV) has emerged as a top contender, with the West Virginia Democrat stating that he has not yet decided whether he will run for reelection or seek higher office.
The No Labels poll surveyed 9,418 registered voters in the eight states, with a margin of error ranging from 2.8 to 2.9 percentage points depending on the individual state’s sample.
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