McConnell assesses GOP damage as Senate border deal crumbles
The Senate border deal’s dramatic collapse on Tuesday has left Republican leadership in a state of uncertainty regarding how to pass aid for Ukraine. However, Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-KY) faces an even more challenging problem: a conference in disarray and outright rebellion. Conservatives successfully fought against the border legislation, convincing a majority of Senate Republicans to oppose it. McConnell now finds himself trying to pick up the pieces while his hold on the conference is in doubt. The divide within the party seems almost insurmountable.
Initially, McConnell saw border security as a way to unite Republicans who were divided over funding for Ukraine. He demanded policy changes as a condition for the White House’s request for over $60 billion in Ukraine funding, and for a while, it seemed to bring the conference together. However, the legislation’s details, combined with a shifting political climate as Donald Trump emerged as the likely GOP nominee, dashed any hopes of the bill’s passage.
Even before the text of the bill was unveiled, it became a messaging nightmare. The White House agreed to close the border when crossings reached 5,000 encounters per day, but leaks fueled a narrative that the bill would “codify” that level of illegal immigration. Within 24 hours of its release, the bill was dead.
The only consensus among Republicans afterward was that Sen. James Lankford (R-OK), the chief negotiator in the border talks, was not to blame. McConnell praised him for producing a “quality product” in a divided government, even though he acknowledged that the deal had “no real chance” in a press conference.
McConnell attributed the problem to politics rather than policy. He stated that things had changed over the past four months, and Speaker Mike Johnson had made it clear that he wouldn’t take up the bill even if it was sent to him. McConnell expressed hope that the Senate would move forward on a bill funding Ukraine, Israel, and Taiwan, but without the border component. However, this alternative plan is unlikely to appease conservative discontent within the conference.
The GOP rift extends beyond Ukraine and the supplemental bill. Conservatives argue that McConnell’s approach excludes input from members, a perception fueled by months of closed-door negotiations on the border deal. McConnell defended himself against these attacks, stating that he followed the instructions of his conference, who wanted to tackle the border issue in October.
The finger-pointing has just begun as Republicans consider their next steps, but this uproar is not the beginning of the conservative rebellion against McConnell. The same senators who blame him for the failed deal also voted against his run for minority leader in 2022. While McConnell easily defeated a leadership challenge, the anger that prompted it remains.
For now, Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer (D-NY) is content to let Republicans vote against the defense bill on the Senate floor. However, the fate of Ukraine aid will depend on how Democrats decide to proceed after the Republican about-face. Some Republicans, like Sen. Kevin Cramer (R-ND), are open to separating Ukraine and Israel funding, but the problems between McConnell and the conference’s conservatives are likely to persist regardless of any changes in leadership style.
What were the specific concerns about funding and resources for securing the border that conservatives had with the legislation?
That the bill did not go far enough in addressing their concerns about border security. Many conservatives felt that the legislation was too weak and did not provide sufficient funding or resources to effectively secure the border. They also believed that the bill did not do enough to address other immigration issues, such as visa overstays and asylum loopholes.
Furthermore, the timing of the collapse of the border deal could not have been worse for McConnell and the Republican leadership. With the Ukraine aid package still in limbo, the party was already facing criticism for not doing enough to hold Russia accountable for its aggression in Ukraine. The collapse of the border deal only added to the perception that the party was divided and ineffective in its response to global crises.
The rebellion within the conference also highlights the growing divide within the Republican Party. On one side are the moderates who are willing to work towards bipartisan solutions and compromise on key issues. On the other side are the conservatives who are pushing for a more hardline approach on issues such as immigration and government spending.
This division is not a new phenomenon within the party, but it has become more pronounced in recent years. The rise of the Tea Party movement has energized the conservative base and pushed the party further to the right. This has created friction between the more moderate and conservative factions, making it difficult for the party to find common ground on important issues.
Moving forward, McConnell and the Republican leadership face an uphill battle in trying to unify the conference and pass aid for Ukraine. They will need to find a way to appease the conservative members of their party while also addressing the concerns of the more moderate members. This will require deft negotiation and compromise, skills that have been in short supply in recent years.
The collapse of the Senate border deal and the rebellion within the conference highlight the challenges that the Republican Party faces in governing effectively. The divide within the party threatens to undermine its ability to pass meaningful legislation and respond to important issues facing the country. As the 2020 elections approach, it is crucial for the party to find a way to bridge this divide and present a united front if it hopes to retain power. Otherwise, it risks being seen as a party in disarray and out of touch with the needs of the American people.
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