Monumental Shift Before Debate Puts Trump Ahead of Biden in General Election Poll
The text provides a detailed update on recent political polling and public sentiment ahead of an upcoming presidential debate. Former President Donald Trump is shown to have a growing lead over Democratic President Joe Biden, according to recent Quinnipiac University and New York Times/Siena College polls. Trump’s lead is amplified when third-party candidates are included, with independent Robert F. Kennedy Jr., Green Party’s Jill Stein, another independent Cornel West, and Libertarian Chase Oliver trailing behind.
The text also mentions a public opinion on whether Trump should face prison time following a guilty verdict in a New York hush-money case, revealing a sharp partisan divide; most Republicans and independents oppose the idea, while a majority of Democrats support it.
The upcoming presidential debate, anticipated to draw significant viewership, marks a historic moment as the earliest in U.S. history and is set to include new formats and rules, such as commercial breaks and restricted candidate-staff interaction.
The section culminates with a direct appeal from Western Journal’s Deputy Managing Editor highlighting the difficulties faced by some media outlets due to perceived Big Tech suppression and a call for reader support to continue their journalistic endeavors.
By Randy DeSoto June 27, 2024 at 1:53pm
Former President Donald Trump has the political wind at his back, based on new polling published just ahead of Thursday night’s presidential debate.
A Quinnipiac University survey released Wednesday found the Republican with a 4-percentage-point advantage over Democrat President Joe Biden, who led in a May poll released by the same firm.
In a head-to-head match, Trump led Biden 49 to 45 percent nationally among registered voters, as opposed to Quinnipiac’s May 22 survey, in which the president led Trump 48 to 47 percent.
When third-party candidates were thrown in the mix — including independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy, Jr., Green Party candidate Jill Stein, independent candidate Cornel West and Libertarian Party candidate Chase Oliver — Trump’s lead increased to five points, with a final count of 43 percent to Biden’s 37 percent.
📊 NATIONAL POLL: Quinnipiac
🟥 Trump: 49% [+2] 🟦 Biden: 45% [-3] —
🟥 Trump: 43% [+5] 🟦 Biden: 37% [-4] 🟨 RFK Jr: 11% [-3] 🟩 Stein: 2% [=] 🟨 West: 2% [=] 🟪 Oliver: 1% [new] [+/- change vs May] —
538: #19 (2.8/3.0) | 1,405 RV| 6/20-24https://t.co/4zsteM2lPe pic.twitter.com/ZIRQBiTzJ5— InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) June 26, 2024
The poll also found that 55 percent believed Trump should not be sentenced to prison based on the guilty verdict rendered in the so-called New York hush-money case, while 40 percent think he should.
Not surprisingly, there was a significant party divide concerning the matter, though independents fell strongly in the no-prison-sentence camp.
“Republicans (92 – 4 percent) and independents (59 – 36 percent) think Trump should not be sentenced to prison based on this guilty verdict, while Democrats (79 – 17 percent) think he should be sentenced to prison,” Quinnipiac reported.
Will Biden suffer a gaffe in the first debate?
The poll was conducted nationwide from June 20 to 24 with 1,405 self-identified registered voters. The margin of error was +/- 2.6 percentage points.
Quinnipiac’s findings were consistent with a New York Times/Siena College poll also published Wednesday.
The survey, conducted from June 20 to 25, found Trump with a 48 to 42 percent lead among registered voters and a 48 to 44 percent advantage with likely voters. A total of 1,226 registered voters participated in the poll.
Trump held a 1-percentage-point lead in April over Biden: 47 to 46 percent.
So a takeaway from Manhattan District Attorney Alvin Bragg securing a guilty conviction on Trump late last month is that it has not hurt the Republican’s candidacy, and arguably helped it.
Quinnipiac found the top issues that were important to voters included the economy, immigration, preserving democracy and abortion.
More than seven in 10 voters (73 percent) planned to tune into Thursday’s 9 p.m. Eastern Time debate on CNN, which was scheduled to be simulcast on Fox News and ABC. Several outlets planned to stream the event live on YouTube, according to Axios.
Fox News reported that the June 27 face-off would mark the earliest presidential debate in U.S. history.
It was slated to last 90 minutes and include two commercial breaks — another first. Normally the debates have run straight through.
Candidates have agreed not to consult with their staff during these pauses in the contest.
A Note from Our Deputy Managing Editor:
I heard a chilling comment the other day: “We don’t even know if an election will be held in 2024.”
That wasn’t said by a conspiracy theorist or a doomsday prophet. No, former U.S. national security advisor Lt. Gen. Michael Flynn said that to the founder of The Western Journal, Floyd Brown.
Gen. Flynn’s warning means that the 2024 election is the most important election for every single living American. If we lose this one to the wealthy elites who hate us, hate God, and hate what America stands for, we can only assume that 248 years of American history and the values we hold dear to our hearts may soon vanish.
The end game is here, and as Benjamin Franklin said, “We must all hang together, or assuredly we shall all hang separately.”
All of this means that without you, it’s over. We have the platform, the journalists, and the experience to fight back hard, but Big Tech is strangling us through advertising blacklists, shadow bans, and algorithms. Did you know that we’ve been blacklisted by 90% of advertisers? Without direct support from you, our readers, we can’t continue the fight.
Can we count on your support? It may not seem like much, but a Western Journal Membership can make all the difference in the world because when you support us directly, you cut Big Tech out of the picture. They lose control.
A monthly Western Journal Membership costs less than one coffee and breakfast sandwich each month, and it gets you access to ALL of our content — news, commentary, and premium articles. You’ll experience a radically reduced number of ads, and most importantly you will be vitally supporting the fight for America’s soul in 2024.
We are literally counting on you because without our members, The Western Journal would cease to exist. Will you join us in the fight?
Sincerely,
Josh Manning
Deputy Managing Editor
The Western Journal
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