Trump maintains front-runner status despite new federal charges.
The Bombshell Indictment: Three New Charges Against Donald Trump
The bombshell news on Thursday that special counsel Jack Smith unveiled three new charges against former President Donald Trump in a superseding indictment over allegations he mishandled classified documents while in office would have destroyed any other presidential candidate.
But Trump is not a typical candidate.
Donald Trump Indicted: Three Things We Learned in Jack Smith’s Superseding Indictment
He’s maintained an iron hold over the 2024 Republican primary race despite the fact he is a twice-indicted and twice-impeached presidential candidate. The recent indictment from Smith brings the total charges against Trump for improperly mishandling sensitive documents to 40, up from the 37 federal charges that were first unveiled last month. Trump is also accused of deleting security footage at his Mar-a-Lago property along with maintenance worker Carlos De Oliveira and his other co-defendant, Walt Nauta.
If the past is any indication, Smith’s latest actions will likely only increase Trump’s poll numbers, bolster his fundraising prowess, and maintain his lead over all other GOP presidential hopefuls. The former president has indicated he will not drop out of the 2024 race despite his increasing legal woes. “It wouldn’t stop me,” Trump said Friday morning about any possible sentencing. Trump has denied any wrongdoing, instead attacking Smith as “deranged” and deriding the indictments as “election interference.”
On Capitol Hill, Republican lawmakers are once again coming to Trump’s aid. Rep. Elise Stefanik (R-NY), chairwoman of the House Republican Conference, defended Trump during a Fox News interview on Friday.
“What the establishment doesn’t realize is this will strengthen President’s Trump position, not only in the primary but in the general election because it epitomizes the weaponization of these federal agencies and the Department of Justice against President Trump,” Stefanik said. “They need to be reined in. And the reason why President Trump is in such a strong position among many is he is uniquely positioned to drain the swamp.”
There may be some precedent to Stefanik’s defense. After Trump was first indicted over the mishandling of the documents, his poll numbers were virtually unchanged, a strong indication of GOP primary voters’ allegiance to Trump. A Quinnipiac University poll released last month showed 53% of Republican and Republican-leaning voters would support Trump, a 30 percentage point advantage over the next closest candidate, Gov. Ron DeSantis (R-FL), who received 23% of voter support. Trump currently receives 52.4% support among Republican primary voters, according to a RealClearPolitics polling average.
DeSantis demurred on whether the indictments would disqualify Trump. “At the end of the day, voters make that decision,” DeSantis said. “What we need to make the election about is a referendum on Biden’s failed policies and our positive vision to get America on the right track.” He also told Megyn Kelly during an interview this week that if he were elected president he may consider pardoning Trump if he were to be sentenced.
Longshot Republican presidential candidate former Texas representative Will Hurd opted for a more hard-line stance against Trump. “Donald Trump is not running for president to make America great again,” Hurd said on Thursday. “Donald Trump is not running for president to defend our interests overseas. Donald Trump is not even running to represent the people that voted for him in 2016 and in 2020. Donald Trump is running for president in order for him to stay out of jail.”
Trump’s latest legal woes also serve to suck media attention from rivals, most of whom are attending the Iowa Republican Party’s Lincoln Dinner Friday. Home to the first-in-the-nation caucuses, Iowa is a must-win state for any non-Trump candidate to have a credible and viable shot at winning the GOP nomination.
DeSantis, Trump’s strongest competitor, is staking his campaign on winning the caucuses. Even before the Lincoln Dinner, DeSantis had been in Iowa for a two-day tour in the Hawkeye State in conjunction with his affiliated super PAC Never Back Down. The group announced that 11 Iowa sheriffs endorsed DeSantis on Thursday and that it had reached one million door knocks during the 2024 cycle, the first of any other campaign.
“Door knocking efforts this cycle have been critical in building the necessary ground game to win the White House, and our team at Never Back Down has been leading the charge,” said Kate Roberts, national field director for Never Back Down. “We have built a very successful organization across early primary states with Americans from all over the country raising their hand to support the cause: getting Governor DeSantis in the White House and turning our country around.”
However, unlike Trump, DeSantis’s campaign’s recent problems, including firing 38 staffers this week, have hindered him not just in national and state polls but among GOP mega-donors, which the Trump campaign has gleefully noted. Even amid his legal problems, Trump has taken to Truth Social to slam the governor. “Ron DeSanctimonious would be a COMPLETE DISASTER for American Farmers and the people of Iowa!” Trump posted.
As the current front-runner in the GOP primary race, Trump has proven a formidable foe, but political experts and rivals have cautioned that much can happen between now and the Jan. 15 Iowa caucuses.
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