New York Times Election Needle Swings Toward Trump as Votes Roll In
The document outlines the election night updates indicating that Republican Donald Trump appears to be leading over Democrat Kamala Harris. According to the New York Times, their presidential forecast has shifted favorably for Trump, projecting an Electoral College estimate of 287 votes for Trump and 251 for Harris. Key swing states such as Nevada, Arizona, Georgia, and North Carolina are predicted to lean towards Trump, and he is also expected to perform well in traditionally Democratic states like Pennsylvania and Michigan, although these remain competitive. Wisconsin is currently categorized as a toss-up. The Times has already called victories for Trump in populous states like Texas and Florida, while New Mexico and Virginia are seen as likely wins for Harris. Trump has a 65% likelihood of winning the election, marking a significant lead as reporting progresses.
Election night appears to be shaping up well for Republican Donald Trump over Democrat Kamala Harris.
Based on the returns nearing 10 p.m. ET, The New York Times presidential forecast needle moved from tossup to leans toward Trump.
The Electoral College estimate has Trump winning 287 to 251.
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A candidate needs 270 votes to win the presidency.
The Times predicted probable wins for Trump in the swing states of Nevada, Arizona, Georgia, and North Carolina.
The so-called Blue Wall states of Pennsylvania and Michigan are seen as probable wins for Trump, per the outlet, though they remain tight.
Wisconsin remained a toss-up.
For the first time all night, the NYT needle no longer has the election as a toss up. They now say Trump has a 65% likelihood to win the election (“Leaning Trump”). pic.twitter.com/lnMwStfrjU
— Glenn Greenwald (@ggreenwald) November 6, 2024
States the New York Times has called include Texas and Florida, the second and third most populous states in the country with 40 and 30 Electoral College votes, respectively.
The Times sees New Mexico and Virginia as likely wins for Harris.
Trump made campaign stops in both states last week in hopes of moving them into his win column.
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