Rep. Jahana Hayes and challenger George Logan in tight race for Connecticut House seat: Poll
EXCLUSIVE: Tight Race in Connecticut’s 5th Congressional District
A new internal poll reveals a fierce battle between three-term incumbent Rep. Jahana Hayes (D-CT) and Republican candidate George Logan, who narrowly lost in the previous election. The race for Connecticut’s 5th Congressional District is considered one of the most competitive in the nation, earning a “lean Democrat” rating from the nonpartisan Cook Political Report.
Logan Campaign’s Internal Polling Memo
The latest polling memo obtained by the Washington Examiner shows a neck-and-neck race within the margin of error. With 43% of voters supporting Hayes, 41% supporting Logan, and 16% undecided, every vote counts. The generic ballot is equally close, with 44% favoring a Democratic candidate and 42% favoring a Republican candidate.
Logan’s Strong Support Among Independents
Logan has a lead among independent and unaffiliated voters, with 41% to 33%. Among independent men, the margin is 39% to 28%, and among independent women, it’s 43% to 37%.
Challenging Environment for President Biden
The poll conducted from Nov. 11-13 also reveals President Joe Biden’s unpopularity in the district. Only 40% of voters approve of his performance, while 53% disapprove.
A Rematch of Close Proportions
This election is a rematch of the previous cycle, where Hayes narrowly defeated Logan by less than 1 percentage point. The memo suggests that the political landscape, with Biden’s negative approval rating and a competitive generic ballot, favors Logan’s campaign once again.
Both the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee and the National Republican Congressional Committee have identified this race as a top priority. The NRCC aims to flip 37 seats, including this one, while the DCCC considers Hayes a “front-line” member.
NRCC Communications Director Jack Pandol asserts that Hayes is feeling the pressure, stating, “Jahana Hayes has been shaking in her boots since George Logan announced—and she should be. Joe Biden’s failures are dragging down Democrats even in deep blue states, creating new pathways for Republicans to grow our majority.”
However, Democrats refute the claim that Hayes is in trouble and express confidence that voters will once again choose her over Logan. Ellie Dougherty, a spokeswoman for the DCCC, criticizes Logan’s record and highlights Hayes’ leadership and victories in the district.
According to Federal Election Commission records, Hayes has $919,557 on hand and raised $411,285 last quarter. Logan, who announced his candidacy in early October, has not filed an FEC report yet but has $6,000 remaining from his previous campaign, where he raised a total of $1.2 million.
For more details, click here to read more from the Washington Examiner.
What factors have contributed to Hayes’ popularity among Democratic voters, and how has she been able to attract support from progressive voters?
Dents, Logan is seen as a strong candidate who is willing to work across party lines and prioritize the needs of the district over partisan politics. This support from independent voters could be a significant advantage for Logan in a district that has a history of voting for moderate candidates.
However, Hayes remains popular among Democratic voters, with a strong base of support. Her focus on issues such as education and healthcare has resonated with many constituents in the district. Additionally, Hayes has also been able to attract support from progressive voters, who appreciate her commitment to social justice and equality.
Both candidates have been actively campaigning and engaging with voters. Hayes has been hosting virtual town halls and participating in community events, while Logan has been reaching out to voters through door-to-door canvassing and social media.
This tight race is expected to attract significant attention and resources from both national parties. Connecticut’s 5th Congressional District has a history of competitive elections, and this year is no exception. The outcome of this race could have an impact on the balance of power in Congress.
There are several key factors that could influence the outcome of the race. First, voter turnout will play a crucial role. Both campaigns are working hard to mobilize their supporters and encourage them to vote. Additionally, the impact of national politics and current events cannot be underestimated. The political climate in the country and the performance of the presidential candidates could sway voters one way or another.
Ultimately, this race will come down to who can effectively communicate their vision for the district and convince voters that they are the best candidate to represent their interests. While Hayes has the advantage of incumbency, Logan’s strong support among independents and his focus on bipartisan cooperation could make this race extremely competitive.
As Election Day approaches, the race in Connecticut’s 5th Congressional District is too close to call. Every vote will matter, and both candidates are leaving no stone unturned in their quest for victory. The outcome of this race will not only determine who represents the district in Congress but will also send a signal about the direction the country is heading in.
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