RFK Jr. draws more votes from Trump, as he remains neck and neck with Biden: Poll.
Trump and Biden Tied in 2024 General Election Poll, Independent Candidate Gains Momentum
In a recent poll conducted by USA Today and Suffolk University, former President Donald Trump and President Joe Biden are deadlocked at 37% each in a potential 2024 general election matchup. However, the real surprise comes from independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr., who has managed to attract double the number of Republican voters compared to Democrats, with a significant 13% of the vote.
When excluding independent candidates from the equation, Trump and Biden remain tied at 41% each, making them the frontrunners for their respective parties’ nominations.
The Unexpected Appeal of RFK Jr.
Many have speculated about which party Kennedy’s candidacy would resonate with the most, and this poll reveals that it is the Republicans who are more drawn to his independent bid. By a margin of 2-to-1, Kennedy has managed to attract more voters who would typically lean Republican rather than those who would lean Democrat.
Another notable independent candidate in the 2024 race is progressive activist Cornel West, who secured 4% of the vote in the survey. Supporters of West indicated that they would have chosen Biden if West had not been included.
Without Kennedy in the race, Trump would have a slight advantage over Biden, leading by 41% to 39%. West’s support would also increase to 7%. Conversely, if West were not in the race, Biden would narrowly defeat Trump by just 1 percentage point, with Kennedy at 14%.
Republican Primary Race: Trump’s Dominance
In the Republican primary race, Trump continues to solidify his lead as the months progress towards Iowa’s first-in-the-nation Republican caucuses. The former president maintains strong support from over half of Republican primary voters, with an impressive 58%.
The survey also reveals a shift in the dynamics among Trump’s potential challengers. Governor Ron DeSantis of Florida, who was once seen as the only viable contender against Trump, has seen a significant drop in support from 23% in June to just 12%. On the other hand, former Ambassador to the United Nations Nikki Haley has experienced a rise in popularity, climbing from 4% to 11% since the June benchmark, placing her just one point behind DeSantis. The remaining candidates have failed to gain traction, with none surpassing 3%.
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How does the rise of independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. challenge the dominance of the two major parties in the election race?
%. This showcases the continued polarization and division within the American electorate, with neither major party candidate able to gain a clear advantage.
The poll, conducted from a sample size of 1,000 registered voters, highlights the enduring popularity of both Trump and Biden. Despite Trump’s controversial tenure as president and the tumultuous events of the past few years, he continues to command a significant portion of the electorate. Similarly, Biden, although facing criticism from some quarters for his handling of the economy and foreign policy, has managed to maintain a strong base of support.
What is particularly striking about this poll is the rise of independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. With 13% of the vote, Kennedy has challenged the dominance of the two major parties in what is traditionally a two-horse race. His ability to attract a significant portion of Republican voters is surprising, and indicates a dissatisfaction with the current state of the GOP.
Kennedy’s appeal may lie in his ability to transcend traditional party lines. As an independent candidate, he is able to distance himself from the partisan gridlock that has come to define American politics. His willingness to challenge the status quo and offer alternative solutions to the country’s most pressing issues has resonated with voters who feel disillusioned with the two major parties.
Furthermore, Kennedy’s political heritage and name recognition undoubtedly plays a role in his popularity. As the son of the late Senator Robert F. Kennedy and nephew of President John F. Kennedy, he carries with him a legacy of public service and charisma that resonates with voters across the political spectrum.
However, it is important to note that the 2024 general election is still years away, and much can change between now and then. It is possible that Trump or Biden’s popularity may shift, or a new candidate may emerge to challenge the status quo. Additionally, the impact of independent candidates like Kennedy on the final outcome is uncertain, as they often face significant hurdles in funding, media coverage, and ballot access.
Nonetheless, this poll highlights the growing dissatisfaction with the two-party system in American politics. It serves as a reminder that voters are seeking alternatives and are open to supporting candidates outside of the established political landscape. As the 2024 general election approaches, it will be interesting to see how these dynamics play out and whether independent candidates, such as Robert F. Kennedy Jr., can continue to gain momentum and challenge the dominance of the major parties.
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