Seven-Day Average Of COVID-19 Case Numbers Plummet, Hospitalizations Cut By Half

The seven-day rolling average of new COVID-19 cases has declined significantly according to Johns Hopkins University and the average daily number of new COVID-19 cases is now less than 100,000.

“The seven-day rolling average fell below 100,000 on Friday for the first time since Nov. 4, according to Johns Hopkins University data, and stayed below 100,000 through Saturday,” the New York Post reported Monday.  ‘The welcome decline comes after the seven-day rolling average of new cases was well above 200,000 for much of December and spiked to nearly 300,000 in January amid a holiday surge, the data shows.”

Monday’s numbers are down a full 64% since the second true pandemic peak in mid-January and represent the first time the average number of cases per day has been under 100,000 since before Thanksgiving.

“Actual data from Johns Hopkins University shows that the number of new coronavirus cases first dropped below 100,000 on Feb. 7, hitting about 89,500,” the Post added, noting that the average positivity rate for new tests is also down significantly, as are hospitalizations and deaths from the virus.

The United States now sees between 1,500 and 3,000 deaths per day from COVID-19, which is still high, but below the near-4,000 deaths per day recorded in early January, at the height of the virus’ second peak, per NBC News.

Experts do warn that the second COVID-19 peak was significantly worse than the first and that the number of infections is still far higher than it was last March and April at the beginning of the coronavirus pandemic.

“We are still at about 100,000 cases a day. We are still at around 1,500 to 3,500 deaths per day. The cases are more than two-and-a-half-fold times what we saw over the summer,” Dr. Rochelle Walensky, the head of the Centers for Disease Control, told NBC News on Sunday, in an appearance on “Meet the Press.” “It’s encouraging to see these trends coming down, but they’re coming down from an extraordinarily high place.”

State-based news outs report that coronavirus-related hospitalizations are falling in some of the states hit hardest by the pandemic — another very positive indication that the United States is weathering its COVID-19 outbreak. In California, the Hill reports, hospitalizations are the lowest they’ve been in three months, and “the number of coronavirus patients in hospital beds across California dipped below 9,000 over the weekend, down by more than 33 percent over the last two weeks.”

Just a few weeks ago, California was considered the epicenter of the second COVID-19 wave.

Local outlets also report that hospitalizations are down in New York.

ABC News noted Monday that, according to Johns Hopkins number, it appears the trend is national. “Hospitalizations have also taken a considerable dip over the last couple of weeks, according to the tracking project. There were 67,023 people hospitalized with COVID-19 symptoms, the tracking project said.”

“Last month, there were over 130,000 hospitalized with the virus, according to health data,” ABC News said.

The tracking project even went so far as to claim the decline is “massive.”

“The case declines that we’ve seen have been massive since mid-January, falling far more than the number of tests reported,” it noted on Twitter.

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