FBI intently focused on outside influence risk in 2024 election
The Threat of Election Interference in 2024: A National Security Concern
The national security community is “keenly focused” on the threat of possible election interference in the 2024 elections, according to FBI Director Christopher Wray.
“It is not seriously disputed that our foreign adversaries have tried and are continuing to try to interfere in our elections,” Wray, who has run the FBI since 2017, told Senate lawmakers last week, though he added, “We’re keenly focused on the risk that foreign adversaries, whether it’s Russia, whether it’s China, whether it’s Iran or others, would seek to interfere in our elections.”
Elevated Threats and Adversaries
The leader of the FBI acknowledged that the threats of external influence on the 2024 presidential election are “elevated.”
“I think it’s fair to say that they are elevated from where they were before,” Wray explained. “And to elaborate just slightly on that point, obviously we saw, and it’s not disputed, that the Russians tried to interfere in the 2016 election and then continued. But what we’ve seen since then is other adversaries attempting to take a page out of the Russians’ playbook.”
There is the threat from outside countries that could influence views and public opinion prior to the election in addition to the threat from election machinery. Last month, Meta, Facebook’s parent company, announced that it shut down roughly 4,800 fake accounts created by someone in China designed to appear to be from Americans with the intent to spread polarizing political content.
The left-leaning group Free Speech for People, a nonprofit advocacy group focused on election and campaign finance reforms, wrote a letter earlier this month expressing concern about previous efforts to access voting system software to Wray, Attorney General Merrick Garland, special counsel Jack Smith, and Cybersecurity and Infrastructure Security Agency Director Jen Easterly.
The group of roughly two dozen computer scientists, election security experts, and voter advocacy organizations who signed the letter requested a federal investigation into what it alleged was a “multi-state conspiracy to obtain voting machine software, carried out through cooperation of a network of Trump allies.”
Former President Donald Trump, who is also the 2024 GOP front-runner, repeatedly and vociferously doubted the integrity of the 2020 election that he lost to President Joe Biden. His claims, which were parroted by a majority within the Republican Party, delegitimized the validity of his election loss in the eyes of his tens of millions of supporters, many of whom still believe, without evidence, that the election was stolen from the former president.
There was no evidence to support the Trump team’s claims that there was a level of fraud so significant it changed the outcome of the election, and their arguments were roundly dismissed in dozens of court cases.
The past election was conducted during the coronavirus pandemic, and voters relied on early voting and mail-in voting more heavily than ever before, which some GOP and Trump officials claimed was the source of some of the fraud.
Now, though, Trump and the Republican National Committee are looking to use early voting to their advantage.
The former president said in October, “I will secure our elections, and our goal will be one-day voting with paper ballots and voter ID. … But until then, Republicans have to compete, and we have to win.” RNC Chairwoman Ronna McDaniel explained in April, “Our approach to election integrity is: We fight in the courtroom, but we play by the rules we’re given in the field.”
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How have foreign adversaries demonstrated their capabilities and willingness to interfere in democratic processes globally?
K Garland, and Secretary of Homeland Security Alejandro Mayorkas. The letter raised concerns about foreign adversaries potentially tampering with election machinery to manipulate the results of the 2024 elections.
The Impact of Election Interference
Election interference poses a significant threat to the integrity of democratic processes and undermines the trust of the American people in their electoral system. By manipulating public opinion, spreading disinformation, and tampering with voting systems, foreign adversaries can influence the outcome of elections and erode the fundamental principles of democracy.
The 2016 presidential election serves as a stark reminder of the potential consequences of election interference. The Russian government’s attempts to interfere in the election through disinformation campaigns, hacking, and spreading propaganda eroded public trust in the electoral process. It highlighted vulnerabilities in the election infrastructure and raised concerns about foreign interference in future elections.
Foreign adversaries, such as Russia, China, and Iran, have demonstrated their capabilities and willingness to interfere in democratic processes globally. They employ a range of tactics, including cyberattacks, social media manipulation, and spreading false narratives, to sow discord and exploit existing divisions within society. These actions can amplify existing political polarization, undermine voter confidence, and disrupt the functioning of democratic systems.
Safeguarding Elections and National Security
The threat of election interference requires a comprehensive and coordinated response from various stakeholders, including government agencies, political parties, technology companies, and civil society organizations.
Government agencies, such as the FBI and Department of Homeland Security (DHS), play a critical role in identifying and mitigating election interference threats. Enhanced coordination and information sharing among these agencies are necessary to effectively counter foreign adversaries’ attempts to undermine democratic processes. Investments in cybersecurity infrastructure and resources are crucial to safeguarding election systems against potential cyberattacks.
Political parties should prioritize election security and resilience by implementing robust cybersecurity measures, conducting regular audits of election machinery, and promoting transparency in campaign financing. It is imperative for parties to work together to establish a united front against foreign interference, regardless of partisan differences.
Technology companies, like Meta and other social media platforms, bear a shared responsibility in preventing the spread of disinformation and false narratives. They should strengthen their content moderation policies and algorithms to combat the dissemination of harmful and misleading content. Transparency in online political advertising and efforts to identify and remove fake accounts are essential to ensuring a fair and informed electoral process.
Civil society organizations and advocacy groups also have a critical role to play in raising awareness about election interference and advocating for reforms to strengthen democratic institutions. They can promote voter education, advocate for campaign finance reforms, and monitor election processes to ensure their integrity.
The Way Forward
Protecting the integrity of elections is not only a matter of national security but also crucial for upholding the principles of democracy. As the 2024 elections approach, it is imperative that all stakeholders remain vigilant and take proactive measures to prevent foreign interference.
Efforts to strengthen election security should go beyond individual electoral cycles and become a collective responsibility to protect democratic processes from foreign adversaries. By working together, the United States can ensure that elections remain a cornerstone of American democracy, free from external influence and manipulation.
Public trust in the electoral system can be restored through transparent processes, robust cybersecurity measures, and concerted efforts to combat disinformation. By safeguarding elections, the United States can safeguard its national security and uphold the values of democracy for future generations.
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