Trump Leads Biden For First Time In NBC Poll Hypothetical Election Matchup
OAN’s Abril Elfi
10:57 AM – Sunday, November 19, 2023
New NBC hypothetical general election national poll showed President Joe Biden behind former President Donald Trump for the first time in the poll’s history.
NBC host Kristen Welker spoke on Sunday stating that “this is the first time in the history of our poll that former President Trump beats President Biden.”
Poll analyst Steve Kornacki called the result “stunning,” adding that Trump had never led Biden starting back in 2019.
At 46%–44%, Trump leads Biden by two points, while Republicans lead Democrats 47%–45% in the generic congressional ballot.
The results show that Trump is now leading Biden in the hypothetical head-to-head contest in 2024.
Just 30% of independents still support Biden’s performance, as more than twice as many of the majority of independents, 63%, disapprove.
Biden’s defections have been sparked by the Israel-Hamas war, which began on October 7th.
Since then, his approval rating for foreign policy has dropped by 8 points, from an already-low 41% to just 33%.
Even among young voters, which range from 18 to 34-years-old, Biden is behind at 42% while Trump leads by four points at 46%.
Kornacki noted that in 2020, Biden had 26 points more than now on young voters, stating that “this could be a massive sea change.”
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How has the Israel-Hamas conflict impacted Biden’s declining approval ratings and his handling of the crisis?
Preferences, highlighting a significant shift in support.
A closer look at the poll reveals that 62% of respondents disapprove of Biden’s foreign policy, while 59% disapprove of his economic policies, a clear indication of growing dissatisfaction among the American public.
The Israel-Hamas conflict, which began in early October, seems to have played a significant role in Biden’s declining approval ratings. His handling of the crisis has been criticized, and it has resulted in an 8-point drop in his approval rating on foreign policy matters, further eroding his standing among voters.
Furthermore, the poll suggests that Biden is losing ground among independent voters. Only 30% of independents now support his performance, while a majority of 63% disapprove. This level of disapproval among independents is a concerning sign for the Biden administration, as they are often seen as the swing voters who can determine election outcomes.
In contrast, former President Trump is gaining traction among different demographics. Even among young voters, traditionally seen as a stronghold for Biden, Trump now leads with 46% compared to Biden’s 42%. This represents a significant shift from the 2020 election, where Biden enjoyed a 26-point lead over Trump among young voters.
Notably, the poll also highlights the lead that Republicans have over Democrats in the generic congressional ballot, with 47% supporting Republicans compared to 45% supporting Democrats. This suggests a potential loss of seats for the Democratic Party in the upcoming midterms, further complicating Biden’s political landscape.
While it is important to note that this poll is hypothetical and does not reflect actual election outcomes, it serves as a barometer of public sentiment and sheds light on the challenges that the Biden administration may face in the coming years.
As the 2024 presidential election approaches, these poll results indicate that Trump is now a formidable contender, and Biden’s previous lead may no longer be guaranteed. The landscape of American politics is continually evolving, and these polls serve as a reminder that public opinion can shift dramatically.
Ultimately, it will be up to the Biden administration to address the concerns and regain public trust if they wish to maintain their political momentum. The path ahead may not be easy, but it is through responsiveness and adaptability that they can navigate the challenges that lie ahead.
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