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US saves Nvidia, stifles China’s chipmaking future.


By Stephen‌ Nellis and Max A. Cherney

October 18, 2023 –‍ 7:09 AM UTC

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SAN FRANCISCO ⁣(Reuters) – The⁢ Biden‍ administration’s new‌ rules, ​aimed⁣ at restricting ⁤China’s access to ​U.S. artificial intelligence chips, have also provided a potential lifeline for Nvidia, Intel,⁤ and​ AMD⁢ to maintain ​their lucrative business in the Chinese chip market.

Buried within the extensive rules issued by the U.S. Bureau of ​Industry‌ and Security (BIS), officials have expressed openness to​ input from the semiconductor industry on how‌ to ⁤continue ⁤supplying‌ AI chips to China for small and ‌medium-sized⁢ systems.

The primary ⁤objective​ of ⁣these ​rules is to⁣ prevent China from⁤ utilizing American chips to develop supercomputers with military applications, similar to⁣ OpenAI’s ChatGPT technology.

Thomas Krueger, a former U.S. National Security Council export control official, explained that the rules are specifically focused on⁣ capabilities that could⁢ enhance ⁢Chinese military systems, rather than targeting broad consumer applications.

The BIS has requested suggestions for ‍creating a‍ “tamperproof” method to⁣ prevent⁣ the combination⁢ of up to 256 AI‍ chips into a ‍supercomputer.

“This approach could ‌limit⁣ the use of controlled⁤ AI chips for training large dual-use AI models with concerning capabilities, ⁣while still allowing AI training at a smaller scale,” ‍stated ‌the BIS.

Nvidia, Intel, and AMD ⁣declined to comment on the​ new rules, ⁣but Nvidia’s shares experienced a 4.67% decline following the announcement.

Furthermore, the rules⁢ also hinder the progress of Nvidia veterans’ Chinese competitors, ‌Moore Threads and Biren, making it ⁤nearly impossible for them to manufacture cutting-edge chips.

As ‍a result, whatever‍ Nvidia is able ⁢to sell to China will ⁤likely‍ be the ⁤best⁢ legal option for ⁣Chinese ⁢buyers.

Regarding the‍ new rules, analysts at investment bank Piper Sandler expressed the ‍belief that Nvidia will quickly adapt and redesign a ⁤chip‌ to meet the new standards with minimal disruptions to their current business outlook.

TOOL RULES TIGHTENED

Among the new rules, which will take effect⁣ in 30​ days, U.S. officials ⁤have specifically ⁢targeted China’s chip manufacturers by restricting the export of advanced chipmaking equipment known⁢ as immersion ⁤deep ultraviolet (DUV)‍ lithography machines if ⁣they contain any American‌ parts.

TechInsights analyst Dan⁤ Hutcheson explained that these⁣ rules effectively close ⁢off​ a ‍significant portion of potential ⁤future developments, aiming​ to “future-proof the ​document.”

Although the DUV machines are not produced​ by American toolmakers, they‍ are manufactured ⁢by Japan’s Nikon and the‌ Netherlands’ ASML.

The DUV rules⁢ announced⁢ on Tuesday formalize the collaboration between the U.S., Japan, and the Netherlands to impose​ similar controls on exporting ⁢these machines to China, according to trade and policy ​attorney Clete Willems.

While immersion DUV machines may not produce cutting-edge‌ chips,⁤ they‌ come close and are likely used by Huawei’s chip manufacturing ⁤partners​ to create new ⁣smartphone⁢ chips, as per ⁣analysts.

Gregory ‍Allen, a⁤ director at the Center for Strategic and International Studies, ​believes that this control alone will significantly limit China’s ⁢ability to expand advanced‍ node semiconductor manufacturing for many years.

By narrowing ⁢the⁢ scope of⁣ blocked equipment,​ the​ rules allow toolmakers to sell equipment designed for building older chips without‍ violating government restrictions.

Reporting by Stephen​ Nellis ⁤and Max A. Cherney in San Francisco; Editing by Kenneth Li and Jamie Freed

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‍How do the tightened tool rules imposed by the US impact China’s chip manufacturers, and what potential⁢ collaboration opportunities​ are there with global ⁤allies

Title: ‍New US Rules on AI Chips Offer ‌Opportunity‌ for Nvidia, Intel, ⁣and AMD to Maintain Presence in Chinese Market

Introduction:

The Biden administration’s recently introduced​ regulations, aimed at curbing China’s access to ‍U.S. artificial intelligence (AI) chips, have inadvertently opened a potential lifeline for major⁤ chip​ manufacturers like Nvidia, Intel, and AMD to sustain their​ lucrative ⁢businesses in the Chinese ⁢chip market. While the⁤ primary aim of these rules is to prevent China from utilizing American ‍chips in the development ‌of ‍military-grade supercomputers, they also provide a window for dialogue between⁣ the semiconductor industry‌ and the U.S. Bureau of Industry and Security (BIS) to explore ways to continue supplying AI chips ⁣to China for smaller systems. This article delves into the details and implications of‍ these new regulations.

Background:

The set of regulations‍ issued by the BIS has prompted industry players to provide input on how to navigate the challenges of supplying ⁢AI chips to⁢ China without compromising ⁢national security​ interests. The rules aim to⁢ prevent the utilization of American chips for the ⁤development of ⁤Chinese military systems, particularly those with capabilities ‌similar to OpenAI’s ChatGPT technology. According to Thomas Krueger, a former‍ U.S. National ⁤Security Council export control official, the ‍regulations are focused ⁤on capabilities that‍ could potentially enhance Chinese military systems, rather than targeting ‍broad consumer applications.

Tamperproof Method and Restricted AI Chip Usage:

The BIS⁣ has specifically requested suggestions for developing a “tamperproof” approach that prevents ​the combination of up to 256​ AI chips into a‍ supercomputer. This approach aims to limit the use of controlled AI⁢ chips for training large‍ dual-use AI models with concerning⁢ capabilities while still allowing AI‌ training at⁤ a smaller scale. Nvidia, Intel, and AMD ‌have refrained from commenting on the new ​rules, although ⁤Nvidia saw a decline of 4.67% in its ​share value⁤ following the announcement.

Impact on Competitors⁢ and Opportunities for Nvidia:

In addition to affecting major ‍chip ‍manufacturers, the rules also impede the progress of Nvidia’s Chinese competitors, Moore Threads and Biren, ​making it nearly impossible for them to manufacture cutting-edge chips. Consequently,⁢ Nvidia is poised to⁢ become ⁢the best legal option for Chinese buyers. Analysts from investment bank⁢ Piper Sandler believe that Nvidia will quickly adapt ‌and redesign chips​ to meet the new standards, minimizing ⁢disruptions to their current business outlook.

Tightened Tool ‌Rules and Collaboration with‌ Global Allies:

Among the new rules, ‌U.S. officials have targeted China’s chip manufacturers by ⁢imposing restrictions ​on the export of ⁤advanced chipmaking equipment known as ⁣immersion deep⁣ ultraviolet (DUV) ‌lithography machines if ‌they contain any American ​parts. While ⁤these machines are not manufactured‌ by American toolmakers, they are ‌produced by



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