Iowa’s Impact on Trump is Big, but Other Candidates Disapprove of Caucus Outcome
A Game-Changing Development in Iowa for Trump and His Rivals
With just over a month until the GOP primary, former President Donald Trump’s lead has surged, solidifying his position as the front-runner. The latest poll results reveal that Trump has expanded his support among Iowa Republicans, while concerns about his legal troubles are waning among his supporters.
What’s even more intriguing is the historical comparison that Democrats should find concerning. According to the NBC News/Des Moines Register/Mediacom poll, Trump commands an outright majority of 51 percent among Iowa Republicans, leaving Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis in a distant second at 19 percent and former United Nations Ambassador Nikki Haley at 16 percent.
Further down the list are entrepreneur Vivek Ramaswamy at 5 percent and former New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie at 4 percent.
During an analysis on the “Morning Joe” program, Steve Kornacki, national political correspondent for NBC News, drew a parallel between Trump’s lead and a previous Republican primary front-runner.
Trump is now polling at 51% in Iowa
— ALX (@alx) December 11, 2023
“The last time we were this close to the caucuses, again, just about a month away, that a Republican candidate had a lead anywhere near this size, you gotta go all the way back to George W. Bush,” Kornacki told host Mika Brzezinski.
“The year was 2000. Bush won the caucuses. Bush won the nomination.”
Koracki didn’t say it, but Bush also won that election.
What’s truly remarkable about Trump’s lead is that it remains strong despite facing relentless legal attacks from Democrats on multiple fronts.
Trump is currently under indictment in New York by Manhattan District Attorney Alvin Bragg, in Fulton County, Georgia, by District Attorney Fani Willis, and in federal court in Florida and Washington, D.C., by attack-dog special counsel Jack Smith.
However, the poll indicates that fewer Republicans are now concerned that Trump’s legal battles will hinder his chances of winning the presidency compared to last month.
“We talked so much in 2023 about Donald Trump’s trials. We will continue to talk about it in 2024,” Kornacki said.
“But we asked folks: ‘Can Donald Trump win the election regardless of his legal challenges?’ Now, nearly three out of four Republicans in Iowa say ‘yes.’ Last month, that number wasn’t even two out of three. Big jump there for Trump.”
It’s possible that Democrats initiated these partisan legal battles, knowing they would only strengthen Trump’s support among a defiant Republican base, while hoping to widen opposition to him among the general electorate.
However, in the real world, where Joe Biden is the president, this strategy might be too clever by half.
The simple truth is that Democrats are currently burdened with an incumbent president who has failed on almost every front. Economically, inflation has eroded American wages since Biden took office, and his border policies have created a disaster that even Democratic cities far from the front are struggling to handle.
Moreover, the Biden administration’s stance on Israel’s conflict with Hamas has exposed deep divisions within the Democratic left, which even sympathetic outlets cannot ignore.
Is it any wonder that Trump is leading in head-to-head polls?
The latest numbers from Iowa have further strengthened Trump’s position, but the failures of Team Biden might be playing an even bigger role.
The post What’s Happening in Iowa Is Huge News for Trump, But Other Candidates Won’t Like How the Caucus Is Shaping Up appeared first on The Western Journal.
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How does Trump’s lead in Iowa compare historically to previous Republican primary front-runners, and what implications does this have for the race?
A Game-Changing Development in Iowa for Trump and His Rivals
With just over a month until the GOP primary, former President Donald Trump’s lead has surged, solidifying his position as the front-runner. The latest poll results reveal that Trump has expanded his support among Iowa Republicans, while concerns about his legal troubles are waning among his supporters.
What’s even more intriguing is the historical comparison that Democrats should find concerning. According to the NBC News/Des Moines Register/Mediacom poll, Trump commands an outright majority of 51 percent among Iowa Republicans, leaving Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis in a distant second at 19 percent and former United Nations Ambassador Nikki Haley at 16 percent.
Further down the list are entrepreneur Vivek Ramaswamy at 5 percent and former New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie at 4 percent.
During an analysis on the “Morning Joe” program, Steve Kornacki, national political correspondent for NBC News, drew a parallel between Trump’s lead and a previous Republican primary front-runner.
“The last time we were this close to the caucuses, again, just about a month away, that a Republican candidate had a lead anywhere near this size, you gotta go all the way back to George W. Bush,” Kornacki told host Mika Brzezinski.
“The year was 2000. Bush won the caucuses. Bush won the nomination.”
Kornacki didn’t say it, but Bush also won that election.
What’s truly remarkable about Trump’s lead is that it remains strong despite facing relentless legal attacks from Democrats on multiple fronts.
Trump is currently under indictment in New York by Manhattan District Attorney Alvin Bragg, in Fulton County, Georgia, by District Attorney Fani Willis, and in federal court in Florida and Washington, D.C. by attack-dog special counsel Jack Smith.
However, the poll indicates that fewer Republicans are now concerned that Trump’s legal battles will hinder his chances of winning the presidency. This is a significant development that could have a profound impact on the race.
While these poll results may come as a surprise to some, they reflect the enduring support and loyalty that Trump continues to garner from his base. Despite the controversies and legal troubles surrounding him, Trump’s messages and policies resonate with a significant portion of the Republican base.
Furthermore, it is crucial to acknowledge the unique position that Trump holds within the Republican Party. As a former president and a renowned figure in conservative politics, Trump’s influence extends far beyond his own candidacy. His endorsements and public statements will undoubtedly shape the future of the party and influence the choices made by voters.
The implications of Trump’s lead in Iowa are significant, not just for him, but also for his rivals. It underscores the challenge that other candidates will face in capturing the attention and support of Republican voters. They will need to present a compelling alternative to Trump’s policies and leadership if they hope to make a dent in his popularity.
As the primary draws closer, all eyes will be on Iowa, where the first votes of the Republican nomination process will be cast. The outcome in this crucial state could set the tone for the rest of the race and determine the trajectory of the Republican Party in the coming years.
In conclusion, Trump’s surge in support in Iowa represents a game-changing development in the race for the GOP nomination. His lead, coupled with diminishing concerns about his legal battles, positions him as the front-runner with a strong chance of securing the nomination. The significance of this development cannot be underestimated, and it will undoubtedly shape the dynamics of the primary race moving forward.
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