What’s driving the Bitcoin bull run?
Bitcoin’s Resurgence: Is the Crypto Winter Coming to an End?
Bitcoin (BTC) reached its peak of over $65,000 in November 2021, but since then, the cryptocurrency market has been in turmoil. Many alt-coins, riding the wave of Bitcoin and Ethereum, lost more than 90 percent of their value due to scandals and the collapse of crypto-exchange FTX. Even Bitcoin itself saw a 75 percent drop in price.
However, there has been a noticeable shift in market sentiment recently. Bitcoin prices have more than doubled from their low of $16,800 in December 2022, currently standing above $34,500. This upward trend coincides with the trial of FTX founder Sam Bankman-Fried, suggesting a possible connection.
One explanation for this change is the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) potentially approving Bitcoin and Ethereum exchange-traded funds (ETFs). If this happens, institutional investors and their clients will have easier access to crypto, leading to increased demand and higher prices. The narrowing discount to net asset value of the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust supports this theory.
Another factor contributing to Bitcoin’s resurgence is geopolitical upheaval, particularly the Israel-Hamas war. The fear of global conflict and the deteriorating U.S. fiscal position are driving interest in Bitcoin as an unorthodox safe haven asset.
Technical factors, such as the upcoming halving event in April 2024, which reduces new supply and historically boosts prices, also play a role in Bitcoin’s appreciation.
While skepticism remains regarding crypto’s long-term prospects due to regulatory bias, the short to medium term looks promising. Bitcoin dominance has increased, indicating a potential shift in the market. As an investor, I believe in the medium-term potential of BTC and GBTC, but I also recognize the importance of hard and real assets in the face of geopolitical uncertainty.
Views expressed in this article are opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of The Epoch Times.
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How have factors like mainstream acceptance of cryptocurrencies and the gradual recovery of the global economy influenced the resurgence of Bitcoin
And Exchange Commission’s (SEC) renewed interest in regulating the cryptocurrency market. In December 2021, the SEC filed several lawsuits against prominent figures and companies involved in the crypto industry, including Ripple Labs Inc., accusing them of conducting unregistered securities offerings. This heightened regulatory scrutiny brought uncertainty into the market and contributed to the decline in Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies’ prices.
However, with the recent trial of Sam Bankman-Fried, the founder of FTX, the market seems to be reacting positively. Bankman-Fried is a well-known figure in the cryptocurrency world and his trial has drawn significant attention from investors and enthusiasts. The trial could potentially bring clarity to the regulatory landscape and alleviate some of the concerns that have been weighing on the market.
Another factor that may be contributing to Bitcoin’s resurgence is the broader acceptance of cryptocurrencies in mainstream society. Over the past few months, major companies such as Tesla, PayPal, and Square have shown increasing interest in Bitcoin and started accepting it as a form of payment. This mainstream adoption has helped legitimize the cryptocurrency and increase its value.
Furthermore, the gradual recovery of the global economy post-pandemic could also be playing a role in Bitcoin’s resurgence. As economies reopen and people regain confidence in traditional financial systems, they may also feel more confident in investing in cryptocurrencies. Bitcoin, often seen as a hedge against inflation and economic instability, may be attracting investors looking to diversify their portfolios and protect their wealth.
It is important to note, however, that the cryptocurrency market is highly volatile and unpredictable. While Bitcoin has shown signs of recovery, it is still far from reaching its all-time high. Additionally, regulatory uncertainties and potential market manipulation continue to pose risks to investors.
In conclusion, the recent uptrend in Bitcoin prices coupled with the FTX trial suggests that the crypto winter may be coming to an end. Factors such as increased regulatory clarity, mainstream adoption, and economic recovery contribute to Bitcoin’s resurgence. Nonetheless, investors should exercise caution and be aware of the inherent risks associated with investing in cryptocurrencies. Only time will tell if this upward trend is sustainable or if the market will experience further turbulence in the future.
" Conservative News Daily does not always share or support the views and opinions expressed here; they are just those of the writer."
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